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St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 4:19 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were STL 20, LAK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 23 (.870); Cal Petersen stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Moore (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cal Petersen (19 saves, .950), 3. Jaret Anderson-Dolan (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    T. Moore1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    C. Petersen19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    J. Anderson-Dolan2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0311106120
LAKLAK390718424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    3:21
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:19
  3. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:11

2nd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    16:29

3rd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.51win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:20

Penalties

STL 9 PIM·LAK 7 PIM

1st

  • 2:10STLOskar Sundqvist · Hookingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min
  • 9:29STLRobert Bortuzzo · Roughingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

2nd

  • 4:38STLTorey Krug · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou5 min
  • 4:38LAKAndreas Athanasiou · Fightingdrawn by Torey Krug5 min
  • 10:15LAKDrew Doughty · Holdingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalSTL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 1st 4:19 — LAK 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.51C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.22J. Anderson-Dolan · Missed · xG 0.19A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.18J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.17B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.11M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.10T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.10C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.06D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.05M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.04J. Anderson-Dolan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsLAK
1.71 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL36%64%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsLAK
20
Shots on goal
24
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
29
Hits
17
7
Blocked shots
10
1
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000020.10200—25:11
47T. KrugD000-100.06215—23:02
90R. O'ReillyC000-210.030004319:44
29V. DunnD000-110.09010—19:08
91V. TarasenkoR000-100.11300—18:51
6M. ScandellaD000010.01200—18:35
10B. SchennC000-100.007003817:46
12Z. SanfordL000-120.25010—17:31
57D. PerronL000-200.00000—17:29
68M. HoffmanC101-120.26000016:48
46J. WalmanD000040.12110—16:07
25J. KyrouR000020.14000—15:11
21T. BozakC000000.002002214:30
41R. BortuzzoD000-120.02222—14:09
9S. BlaisL000000.0040010014:07
70O. SundqvistC000000.161125011:38
13K. CliffordL000010.30200—09:35
54D. JoshuaC000020.101005009:29
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)23203.8702.51-0.4957:58

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).