Kings at Blues 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Los Angeles Kings

▸2

St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dustin Brown's goal at 10:24 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.3, STL 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 20, STL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cal Petersen (35 saves, .972), 2. Dustin Brown (1 G), 3. Drew Doughty.

Three stars

★
C. Petersen35 saves, .972
★★
D. Brown1 G
★★★
D. Doughty

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	05	29	06	220
STL	011	09	116	136

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

D. Brown(11)
A. Iafallo (8)
wristxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
1-0
10:24
A. Athanasiou(4)
A. Wagner (3), K. MacDermid (2)
wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
2-0
16:08

3rd period

O. Sundqvist(3)
R. O'Reilly (11), D. Perron (14)
wristxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
2-1
18:14

Penalties

8 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

2:51Dustin Brown · High stickingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min

2nd

4:40Torey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
5:07Andreas Athanasiou · Trippingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
17:35Dustin Brown · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

15:58Tobias Bjornfot · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: STL

Biggest swing: Dustin Brown, 2nd 10:24 — LAK 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att STL

1 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.32 G
All situations: 1 G2.5; 1.42 G
Even strength: 1 G1.4; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

29%71%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

20
Shots on goal: 36; 41%
Faceoffs: 59%; 0/1
Power play: 0/4; 8
Penalty minutes: 2; 23
Hits: 29; 8
Blocked shots: 10; 12
Giveaways: 14; 3
Takeaways: 3

Box score

every player line

Los Angeles Kings skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8D. DoughtyD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	2	0	—	26:11
6O. MaattaD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	2	2	0	—	25:05
3M. RoyD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	2	0	—	22:07
11A. KopitarC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.22	0	0	0	41	21:45
33T. BjornfotD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	—	18:37
19A. IafalloL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	0	0	0	—	18:36
23D. BrownR	1	0	1	+1	3	0.15	4	0	4	—	18:01
77J. CarterC	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	0	17:14
9A. KempeR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	16:17
13G. VilardiC	0	0	0	0	0	0.88	0	0	0	36	16:10
56K. MacDermidL	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	—	15:09
12T. MooreL	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	—	12:38
26S. WalkerD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	0	0	—	12:30
91C. GrundstromR	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	0	0	—	11:08
46B. LizotteC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	75	10:56
22A. AthanasiouC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.27	0	0	2	0	10:51
27A. WagnerL	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	4	0	0	—	09:30
10M. AmadioR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	38	09:15

Los Angeles Kings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40C. Petersen(W)	36	35	1	.972	2.47	+1.47	60:00

Season series

LAK leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score