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Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vince Dunn's goal at 2:53 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.3, STL 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 23, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.3 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. David Perron (1 G, 1 A), 2. Robert Thomas (2 A), 3. Torey Krug (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    T. Krug1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0521008223
STLSTL1132819430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    T. Krug(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    13:12

2nd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:57
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:53
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:25
  4. LAK
    D. Brown(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    16:29

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.72win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:58

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:58LAKKurtis MacDermid · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

2nd

  • 4:05STLTorey Krug · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 9:26STLIvan Barbashev · Slashingdrawn by Kale Clague2 min
  • 14:32STLCarl Gunnarsson · Holdingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 15:57STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 11:20LAKMikey Anderson · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 16:54STLTyler Bozak · Slashingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalLAK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Vince Dunn, 2nd 2:53 — STL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.72J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.17T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSTL
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK61%39%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSTL
23
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
10
Hits
17
3
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
1
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-130.05200—24:54
11A. KopitarC011010.210005024:06
19A. IafalloL011020.36000—21:27
9A. KempeR101020.43000—20:08
44M. AndersonD000-110.03102—19:18
3M. RoyD011020.06000—18:08
26S. WalkerD000-120.18010—17:24
77J. CarterC000-100.000006717:19
23D. BrownR101-210.36200—16:34
58K. ClagueD000+110.04100—16:27
13G. VilardiC000-100.120001315:08
56K. MacDermidL000-110.02112—14:22
22A. AthanasiouC000-100.00000013:39
46B. LizotteC000-110.010106313:11
91C. GrundstromR000-110.11300—12:01
10M. AmadioR000020.100006011:45
12T. MooreL000020.17000—11:43
24L. AnderssonC000-110.01000010:46
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)29263.8971.73-1.2758:26

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).