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St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTTV FS-MW, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Adrian Kempe scoring at 1:45. The Kings came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 1:45 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 25, LAK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.5 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adrian Kempe (1 G), 3. Brayden Schenn (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL311080600325
LAKLAK1122801113434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn (10), V. Dunn (6)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:25
  2. STL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:38
  3. STL
    B. Schenn (11), D. Perron (17)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    11:05
  4. LAK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    13:08

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    18:09
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar (22), M. Roy (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:49

Overtime

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:45

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:49LAKRasmus Kupari · Hookingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

2nd

  • 8:05STLTorey Krug · High stickingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 17:34STLNathan Walker · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

3rd

  • 3:28STLMackenzie MacEachern · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 4:33LAKDrew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalSTL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Adrian Kempe, OT 1:45 — LAK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.16M. Luff · Goal · xG 0.16A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.16A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.15J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.15A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.09T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsLAK
2.23 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL45%55%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsLAK
25
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
2
1
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-130.04050—25:43
6M. ScandellaD000+100.06120—23:44
29V. DunnD011+140.43100—23:05
47T. KrugD000-220.02032—21:14
10B. SchennC022010.062006920:42
57D. PerronL112+110.22100—18:19
90R. O'ReillyC101-130.370004218:03
12Z. SanfordL000+110.104004016:51
91V. TarasenkoR000-240.19100—16:25
68M. HoffmanC000+100.0001010016:04
41R. BortuzzoD011020.14010—15:21
26N. WalkerL101+110.30002—15:14
25J. KyrouR000-110.12010—14:27
9S. BlaisL011+100.00120—13:42
77N. MikkolaD000000.00020—11:29
28M. MacEachernL000-110.13202—11:16
54D. JoshuaC000-110.021006709:39
13K. CliffordL000-100.00210—09:22
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(O)34304.8822.49-1.5161:45

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).