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Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, FS-W·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the St. Louis Blues 6-3. The Blues scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 6:25 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 35, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Ville Husso stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brayden Schenn (2 G), 3. Adrian Kempe (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK21431417635
STLSTL17011213331

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:26
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    18:13
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:36

2nd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:25
  2. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    8:22
  3. LAK
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    17:18

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    6:01
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    6:49
  3. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.54
    6-3
    19:43

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 17:31STLTorey Krug · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 19:40STLRyan O'Reilly · Slashingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

2nd

  • 9:23LAKLias Andersson · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 9:23STLDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Lias Andersson2 min
  • 15:08LAKLias Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 19:37STLMarco Scandella · Holdingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

3rd

  • 3:09LAKLias Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 7:28STLRobert Thomas · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalLAK goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 2nd 6:25 — LAK 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.29J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.26J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.17B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.15B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSTL
4.15 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.74 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK61%39%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSTL
35
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
34
12
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD101+230.69110—26:40
44M. AndersonD000+110.09200—21:30
11A. KopitarC123+230.231006021:27
3M. RoyD011+220.06300—20:50
9A. KempeR022+120.27000—18:33
58K. ClagueD011020.02010—18:05
19A. IafalloL101+250.30110—17:58
23D. BrownR011+230.32300—17:36
77J. CarterC000-240.321106715:45
26S. WalkerD000000.00010—15:17
46B. LizotteC000-210.051006313:45
10M. AmadioR000010.041105013:27
24L. AnderssonC101+310.23006013:14
22A. AthanasiouC000-220.10010012:55
12T. MooreL011010.30000—12:35
13G. VilardiC101+210.350003312:25
91C. GrundstromR101030.32120—11:55
56K. MacDermidL000-100.42230—10:46
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)31283.9032.51-0.4959:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).