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St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-MW·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2 in overtime, Mike Hoffman scoring at 1:30. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 1:30 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.1, LAK 2.1; shots on goal were STL 22, LAK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Cal Petersen stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (2 G), 2. Dustin Brown (1 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL160511011322
LAKLAK0121811000230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    2:08

2nd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    16:41

3rd period

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(12)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    0:37
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    19:16

Overtime

  1. STL
    T. Krug (14), R. O'Reilly (16)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:30

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:43LAKserved by M. Luff · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 2:58STLKyle Clifford · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 15:03STLZachary Sanford · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

2nd

  • 8:11LAKTobias Bjornfot · Interferencedrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 18:48STLZachary Sanford · Hookingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

3rd

  • 1:59STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 2:50LAKAdrian Kempe · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalSTL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, OT 1:30 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.16T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.15J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.14M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.14D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.10T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.08C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.06D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsLAK
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL51%49%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsLAK
22
Shots on goal
30
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
13
1
Giveaways
1
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90R. O'ReillyC033+220.291007023:14
72J. FaulkD000000.02300—23:07
47T. KrugD011+250.11110—21:38
6M. ScandellaD000-110.12110—21:14
10B. SchennC011+130.342004520:34
29V. DunnD000-110.02020—20:06
57D. PerronL202040.39000—18:47
25J. KyrouR000+110.30002—18:04
12Z. SanfordL000010.14114—17:41
68M. HoffmanC112+210.17210017:35
41R. BortuzzoD000000.01320—16:07
77N. MikkolaD000010.00100—14:49
9S. BlaisL000010.13400—12:36
26N. WalkerL000-100.001105012:08
13K. CliffordL000000.01302—11:19
70O. SundqvistC000000.02000011:15
28M. MacEachernL000010.01200—09:37
54D. JoshuaC000000.002006008:56
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)30282.9332.08+0.0859:29

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).