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St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTTV ESPN+, BSSC·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1 in overtime, Justin Faulk scoring at 0:46. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 0:46 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 19, LAK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Cal Petersen stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Austin Wagner, 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Wagner
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL05061711219
LAKLAK060911200127

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +25 pts
    1-0
    1:25
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.07win prob +29 pts
    1-1
    7:35

Overtime

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    0:46

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:40STLDakota Joshua · Roughingdrawn by Lias Andersson2 min
  • 13:40LAKLias Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 13:40LAKLias Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 15:43STLTyler Bozak · Hookingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

3rd

  • 14:33LAKAustin Wagner · Trippingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 17:47STLIvan Barbashev · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalSTL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, OT 0:46 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.12T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.11R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.09L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.09S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.07M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.06D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.05C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01
LAK1 G · 1.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsLAK
1.52 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL41%59%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsLAK
19
Shots on goal
27
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD112+120.22120—23:11
55C. ParaykoD000030.08130—21:00
6M. ScandellaD000010.05000—20:41
47T. KrugD000000.00010—20:12
90R. O'ReillyC011+110.020207418:22
57D. PerronL011+120.18100—17:29
10B. SchennC000000.091006316:54
36S. SantiniD000030.12600—16:29
17J. SchwartzL011020.27020—16:01
21T. BozakC101020.170125615:59
68M. HoffmanC000010.15000015:24
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00420—15:17
49I. BarbashevL000000.0013210015:16
18R. ThomasC000000.001104214:56
25J. KyrouR000010.1000010013:58
12Z. SanfordL000000.000005013:16
13K. CliffordL000000.00200—12:10
54D. JoshuaC000010.014028011:43
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)27261.9631.86+0.8660:46

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).