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Maple Leafs at Oilers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
Edmonton Oilers
1
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 2:57 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were TOR 32, EDM 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Vesey (2 G), 2. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Spezza (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Vesey2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Spezza3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR110411111632
EDMEDM091909127

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. Vesey(3)
    T. Boyd (4), J. Spezza (8)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:03

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Vesey(4)
    J. Spezza (9), T. Boyd (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:57
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(7)PPG
    J. Thornton (8), M. Marner (24)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    4:44
  3. TOR
    I. Mikheyev(3)
    Z. Hyman (8), P. Engvall (3)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    7:02
  4. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(10)
    L. Draisaitl (25), K. Russell (4)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    13:46
  5. TOR
    W. Nylander(10)
    J. Tavares (14), M. Rielly (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    18:22

3rd period

  1. TOR
    Z. Hyman(7)PPG
    J. Spezza (10), T. Brodie (7)
    backhandxG 0.28
    6-1
    10:33

Penalties

TOR 0 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

2nd

  • 4:38EDMJames Neal · Slashingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min
  • 10:35EDMEthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 19:43EDMJoakim Nygard · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

3rd

  • 5:24EDMMike Smith · Roughingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 10:22EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalTOR goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 2nd 2:57 — TOR 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.33T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.27R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.22R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.18J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.12K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.10J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.08T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.07J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.06J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.05J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM1 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsEDM
4.46 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.74 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
1.72 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR77%23%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.24 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/5
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
42
20
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. HollD000+300.03150—21:31
44M. RiellyD011+100.00110—21:31
78T. BrodieD011+120.07130—20:39
8J. MuzzinD000+220.11210—20:32
16M. MarnerR011-110.11030—18:50
34A. MatthewsC000-170.491103818:43
97J. ThorntonC011-110.19000017:01
11Z. HymanL112+150.981005016:55
91J. TavaresC112+130.630008116:20
22Z. BogosianD000000.03210—15:48
47P. EngvallL011+120.231002915:02
15A. KerfootC000+100.1221010014:56
88W. NylanderR101+130.28100—14:28
19J. SpezzaC033+220.301006714:18
23T. DermottD000-100.05210—14:18
65I. MikheyevR101+120.46220—14:17
26J. VeseyL202+220.26200—13:25
72T. BoydC022+200.00110011:35
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)27261.9632.51+1.5159:51

Season series

TOR leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).