Detroit Mercy

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Horizon · 7-24 · AdjEM -18.7, 343 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -18.7343 of 364
AdjO: 92.4351 of 364
AdjD: 111.1296 of 364
AdjT: 70.0164 of 364

Detroit Mercy went from -21.8 (#354) on 2024-11-03 to -18.7 (#343) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -14.5 (#319) on 2024-12-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 45.6%349
TOV%: 18.0%307
OREB%: 29.7%118
FTA/FGA: 28.9%301
Opp eFG%: 51.2%198
Opp TOV%: 14.2%310
DREB%: 71.1%247
Opp FTA/FGA: 39.8%328

Résumé7-24 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -3.6221 of 364
Non-conference: -0.2201 of 364
Luck: +3.8%101 of 364
Wins above bubble: -20.1340 of 364

Quad 1: 0-2
Quad 2: 0-1
Quad 3: 1-12
Quad 4: 6-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Orlando LovejoyG	30	35.1	16.4	4.6	3.8	45.3%	51.5%	26.9%	22.2%	86.7%
Nate JohnsonG	32	29.8	8.8	4.5	1.1	44.7%	48.0%	19.1%	30.1%	67.1%
TJ NadeauG	32	24.2	8.9	3.5	0.6	44.8%	47.9%	21.5%	34.3%	86.0%
Legend GeeterF	29	24.1	7.9	4.1	1.3	45.2%	50.2%	20.3%	35.6%	80.3%
Emmanuel KuacG	29	20.7	7.1	3.9	0.9	44.5%	48.5%	21.9%	28.1%	77.6%
Ryan KalambayF	32	18.2	3.5	3.8	0.7	53.0%	53.6%	11.6%	—	53.2%
Grant Gondrezick IIG	21	23.0	8.4	3.1	1.7	42.5%	45.2%	23.2%	41.5%	75.9%
Miles MitchellF	27	12.6	1.8	3.2	0.3	46.9%	44.0%	10.4%	0.0%	21.4%
Mak MancielG	12	21.5	11.1	2.3	1.4	54.1%	57.8%	27.0%	42.3%	75.0%
Stephen OkoroF	21	11.0	2.3	3.5	0.4	53.7%	51.4%	12.2%	0.0%	35.7%
Jared LaryG	9	23.3	9.1	4.0	1.2	48.0%	49.9%	24.0%	40.0%	66.7%
Chase KuiperG	24	8.6	0.8	1.1	0.5	66.7%	67.8%	4.5%	66.7%	66.7%
Peter Fuchs Jr.G	18	4.1	1.6	0.4	0.1	45.0%	53.5%	21.7%	0.0%	76.9%
Ryan HurstG	5	4.6	0.4	0.4	0.4	20.0%	20.0%	11.1%	0.0%	—
Duane Rogers IIIG	4	2.3	1.0	0.3	0.0	50.0%	41.2%	33.1%	—	33.3%
Alex TchikouF	2	2.5	0.0	1.5	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	20.3%	—	—
Nick SchorrG	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games7-24

“Ours” is our projected margin for Detroit Mercy, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-07	@Loyola Chicago	Q2#110	L 65-87	-23.7	70	11-04
11-10	vsNiagara	Q4#318	W 84-78	-4.3	69	11-04
11-16	vsToledo	Q4#233	L 67-82	-12.4	71	11-11
11-20	@Ball State	Q4#281	W 70-59	-11.4	71	11-18
11-23	@Wake Forest	Q1#61	L 57-67	-24.2	70	11-18
11-26	nTulsa	Q4#232	L 44-63	-4.7	73	11-25
11-27	nRhode Island	Q3#146	L 75-81	-15.9	72	11-25
11-30	@Eastern Michigan	Q4#296	W 98-89	-2.6	70	11-25
12-05	vsPurdue Fort Wayne	Q4#161	W 79-78	-10.4	70	12-02
12-07	vsWright State	Q4#206	L 72-80	-9.6	71	12-02
12-14	@Davidson	Q3#141	L 51-86	-15.1	71	12-09
12-18	@Northern Kentucky	Q3#240	L 60-73	-10.8	70	12-16
12-22	@Wisconsin	Q1#19	L 53-76	-28.3	71	12-16
12-29	@Youngstown State	Q3#192	L 64-73	-14.3	71	12-23
01-02	vsRobert Morris	Q3#159	W 78-76	-1.1	72	12-30
01-04	vsMilwaukee	Q3#156	L 56-64	-8.2	72	12-30
01-09	@IU Indianapolis	Q4#339	L 61-95	+0.9	69	01-06
01-11	@Purdue Fort Wayne	Q3#161	L 67-90	-14.9	71	01-06
01-18	vsOakland	Q4#190	L 59-65	-6.9	68	01-13
01-22	@Cleveland State	Q3#186	L 50-65	-13.5	70	01-20
01-25	@Wright State	Q3#206	L 50-67	-15.7	71	01-20
01-30	vsNorthern Kentucky	Q4#240	W 68-57	-2.9	69	01-27
02-01	vsGreen Bay	Q4#326	W 67-57	+2.5	70	01-27
02-05	@Robert Morris	Q3#159	L 56-71	-12.3	71	02-03
02-08	vsYoungstown State	Q4#192	L 72-87	-5.7	71	02-03
02-16	@Oakland	Q3#190	L 83-93	-12.4	68	02-10
02-19	vsIU Indianapolis	Q4#339	L 71-80	+4.5	69	02-17
02-21	vsCleveland State	Q4#186	L 65-73	-7.0	69	02-17
02-27	@Green Bay	Q4#326	L 71-76	-4.7	70	02-24
03-01	@Milwaukee	Q3#156	L 67-89	-16.0	71	02-24
03-04	@Northern Kentucky	Q3#240	L 75-99	-10.8	69	03-03

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.