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Merrimack

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

NEC · 16-16 · AdjEM -9.9, 288 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-9.9288 of 363
AdjO
88.9357 of 363
AdjD
98.9105 of 363
AdjT
67.0313 of 363

Merrimack went from -6.3 (#261) on 2022-11-06 to -9.9 (#289) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -6.3 (#261) on 2022-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.3%290
TOV%
19.4%320
OREB%
18.2%351
FTA/FGA
34.6%80
Opp eFG%
49.1%103
Opp TOV%
24.3%1
DREB%
66.7%357
Opp FTA/FGA
26.9%59

Résumé16-16 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-9.2355 of 363
Non-conference
-0.6212 of 363
Luck
+0.5%166 of 363
Wins above bubble
-11.8249 of 363
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
0-3
Quad 4
16-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Ziggy ReidF3432.414.24.11.252.4%57.0%23.9%35.3%78.3%
Javon BennettG3429.49.61.93.443.2%46.6%24.0%27.9%73.3%
Jordan MinorF2833.517.49.42.351.7%53.7%30.8%11.1%58.7%
Jordan DerkackG3424.07.44.02.848.9%55.6%20.4%22.2%74.8%
Devon SavageG3323.26.53.10.655.4%55.8%14.8%38.0%62.5%
Jordan McKoyG3322.73.11.80.747.4%50.2%9.2%33.8%81.3%
Jaylen StinsonG3417.32.31.51.330.9%36.3%16.1%20.5%71.4%
Mykel DerringG1822.74.81.60.451.8%51.8%12.2%36.8%50.0%
Malik EdmeadG2316.85.61.21.845.0%49.8%23.7%38.5%73.2%
Nick FilchnerG317.51.60.50.349.0%49.0%13.4%35.0%50.0%
Bryan EtumnuF195.30.80.70.168.8%62.7%11.3%100.0%50.0%
Chevalier EmeryG142.90.60.30.233.3%33.3%19.9%22.2%—
Elliott BlackF102.81.40.70.071.4%67.8%23.9%—57.1%
Thomas HallG44.32.00.50.0133.3%133.3%12.8%100.0%—
Brandon LegrisF71.60.40.70.350.0%50.8%14.6%—50.0%
Ryan IsaacsonF11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games16-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Merrimack, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@St. John'sQ2#87L 72-97-15.4
11-17nTroyQ3#157L 54-73-4.2
11-18@MontanaQ3#183L 51-62-1.5
11-19nSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ4#226L 61-72-3.1
11-23@ProvidenceQ1#49L 57-71-15.3
11-26@BradleyQ2#77L 41-83-15.7
11-30@UMass LowellQ2#122L 51-77-17.6
12-02vsBoston UniversityQ4#246L 54-68-0.6
12-04vsVermontQ3#99L 43-66-3.3
12-07@San FranciscoQ2#92L 51-69-23.8
12-11vsMaineQ4#297L 47-50-1.6
12-18@BucknellQ4#291L 55-61-13.9
12-29@Fairleigh DickinsonQ4#286L 63-71-6.9
12-31@WagnerQ4#294W 58-48-12.5
01-05vsSacred HeartQ4#330L 55-59+3.1
01-07vsSt. Francis BrooklynQ4#345W 65-53+3.7
01-14@StonehillQ4#298W 59-47-7.9
01-16vsWagnerQ4#294L 57-62+0.5
01-22@St. Francis BrooklynQ4#345W 63-55-2.5
01-26@Central ConnecticutQ4#337W 64-61-2.8
01-28vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#286L 71-78+3.2
02-02vsLong Island UniversityQ4#361W 76-59+11.7
02-04vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#328W 70-66+2.9
02-09vsStonehillQ4#298W 56-43+1.5
02-11@St. Francis (PA)Q4#328W 75-68-3.7
02-16@HartfordQ4#363W 67-59+5.5
02-18@Sacred HeartQ4#330W 67-55-3.1
02-23vsCentral ConnecticutQ4#337W 70-54+5.7
02-25@Long Island UniversityQ4#361W 80-59+6.4
03-01vsLong Island UniversityQ4#361W 91-76+15.0
03-04vsSacred HeartQ4#330W 71-60+6.7
03-07vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#286W 67-66+5.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.