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Merrimack

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

NEC · 18-12 · AdjEM -4.7, 222 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-4.7222 of 362
AdjO
94.7321 of 362
AdjD
99.496 of 362
AdjT
69.5209 of 362

Merrimack went from -10.1 (#294) on 2023-11-05 to -4.7 (#222) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -2.8 (#200) on 2024-01-29.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.8%227
TOV%
17.5%295
OREB%
20.5%342
FTA/FGA
34.3%132
Opp eFG%
46.4%14
Opp TOV%
21.8%5
DREB%
67.2%349
Opp FTA/FGA
32.7%183

Résumé18-12 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-8.9350 of 362
Non-conference
+0.5180 of 362
Luck
+0.2%170 of 362
Wins above bubble
-8.2154 of 362
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
1-1
Quad 4
17-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jordan DerkackG3233.017.06.03.951.1%56.9%30.4%27.5%72.4%
Adam ClarkG3331.213.42.53.947.7%51.9%26.0%14.0%74.8%
Samba DialloF3328.57.54.50.947.2%54.6%15.3%32.3%78.8%
Devon SavageG3327.210.23.60.750.0%51.6%21.1%34.4%82.8%
Bryan EtumnuF3322.37.33.90.559.4%61.2%16.0%29.8%69.1%
Jordan McKoyG3322.14.52.50.652.7%54.2%11.0%34.7%83.3%
Jaylen StinsonG3316.83.62.11.439.3%42.8%18.3%23.5%63.2%
Jacob O'ConnellF2917.75.52.70.657.2%57.9%16.1%37.0%61.5%
Armandas PlintauskasG224.40.90.50.150.0%50.0%14.2%33.3%—
Elliott BlackF164.61.51.30.061.1%57.6%17.8%0.0%33.3%
Thomas HallG91.20.20.10.0100.0%100.0%4.8%——
Ryan IsaacsonF81.00.00.30.0——0.0%——
Edrick QuezadaF51.40.00.20.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games18-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Merrimack, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@VermontQ2#108L 55-67-15.1
11-12@MaineQ4#244W 71-65-4.8
11-15@Ohio StateQ1#48L 52-76-16.9
11-22nNorth Carolina A&TQ4#347W 96-73+6.1
11-24@SamfordQ2#103L 71-79-8.0
11-25nAlabama StateQ4#329L 60-66+2.2
11-29@GeorgetownQ3#187L 67-69-6.8
12-02vsUMass LowellQ3#147W 74-68-7.7
12-05@FloridaQ1#28L 57-77-18.1
12-19@CincinnatiQ1#33L 49-65-20.2
12-22vsBucknellQ4#264W 68-52+6.1
12-30@Boston UniversityQ4#286L 63-74+0.3
01-06vsSacred HeartQ4#295W 82-58+8.9
01-13@Le MoyneQ4#300W 66-62+2.4
01-15@Central ConnecticutQ4#265L 70-75-0.4
01-19vsWagnerQ4#294L 65-71+9.3
01-21vsStonehillQ4#355W 63-47+15.9
01-25@WagnerQ4#294W 60-44+0.9
01-27@St. Francis (PA)Q4#352W 74-55+8.5
02-03vsCentral ConnecticutQ4#265W 71-68+6.1
02-08@Long Island UniversityQ4#353W 82-79+11.2
02-10vsLe MoyneQ4#300W 66-50+10.1
02-15@StonehillQ4#355W 66-63+9.3
02-17vsLong Island UniversityQ4#353W 83-68+16.7
02-22vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#352W 71-60+15.2
02-29@Fairleigh DickinsonQ4#317W 74-55+3.5
03-02@Sacred HeartQ4#295L 85-89+2.4
03-06vsLong Island UniversityQ4#353W 72-66+16.3
03-09vsLe MoyneQ4#300W 61-51+8.7
03-12vsWagnerQ4#294L 47-54+8.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.