North Carolina
ACC · 0-0 · AdjEM +22.5, 28 of 365 nationally.
2026-27 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-10-05preseason: no games played, every team at its prior
Adjusted ratingas of 2026-10-05
Every team →- AdjEM
- +22.528 of 365
- AdjO
- 118.435 of 365
- AdjD
- 95.824 of 365
- AdjT
- 70.7122 of 365
AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).
Four factorsraw season rates · 0 complete games
Leaderboards →- eFG%
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- TOV%
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- OREB%
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- FTA/FGA
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- Opp eFG%
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- Opp TOV%
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- DREB%
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- Opp FTA/FGA
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Roster16 players · as listed today
The roster as ESPN lists it today. Before a season, some schools' lists are still last season's; a player shown with no games did not play in Division I last season.
Still to play31 games · from the ratings of 2026-10-05
Today's ratings give North Carolina 21.0 expected wins from the 31 games left on the schedule; the hardest is at Duke, a 9% chance.
These use today's ratings and will move as the ratings do. The projection beside a game already played, below, is fixed at the ratings dated before that game.
Games0-0
“Ours” is our projected margin for North Carolina, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.
How this is measured
Ranks are out of 365 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.
Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.