Toledo

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 0-0 · AdjEM -0.4, 163 of 365 nationally.

2026-27 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-10-05preseason: no games played, every team at its prior

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-10-05

Every team →

AdjEM: -0.4163 of 365
AdjO: 110.7103 of 365
AdjD: 111.1268 of 365
AdjT: 69.7201 of 365

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

Fewer than two snapshots — no path to draw yet.

Four factorsraw season rates · 0 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: —
TOV%: —
OREB%: —
FTA/FGA: —
Opp eFG%: —
Opp TOV%: —
DREB%: —
Opp FTA/FGA: —

Roster11 players · as listed today

Player	Class	Last season	G	MPG	PPG
Sonny WilsonG	Junior	here	34	36.2	17.0
Sean CraigF	Senior	here	34	31.6	11.6
Austin ParksC	Junior	here	34	25.2	10.7
Kyler VanderjagtG	Senior	here	34	22.1	8.4
Jaylan OuwingaF	Sophomore	here	34	18.6	6.3
Mynor StrongG	Sophomore	here	33	17.7	5.2
Will James Jr.G	Freshman	here	34	9.4	3.1
London PraytorF	Freshman	here	16	4.5	2.3
Tyler OdeG	Sophomore	here	14	3.1	0.7
Chris RiddleF	Sophomore	here	3	13.0	4.3
Toby NwokoloF	Freshman	here	6	2.7	1.0

The roster as ESPN lists it today. Before a season, some schools' lists are still last season's; a player shown with no games did not play in Division I last season.

Still to play24 games · from the ratings of 2026-10-05

Today's ratings give Toledo 14.4 expected wins from the 24 games left on the schedule; the hardest is at Akron, a 17% chance.

Date	Opponent	Margin	Win
11-02	@Arkansas State	-3.6	36%
12-02	@Ohio	+0.7	53%
12-05	vsKent State	+3.8	65%
12-09	vsEastern Michigan	+8.2	80%
12-12	@Western Michigan	+4.9	69%
12-16	vsOakland	+3.7	65%
01-02	@Central Michigan	+5.9	73%
01-05	vsMiami (OH)	-2.5	40%
01-09	vsBuffalo	+6.9	76%
01-12	@Massachusetts	-0.4	48%
01-16	vsAkron	-3.7	35%
01-19	@Ball State	+6.0	73%
01-23	@Buffalo	+1.3	55%
01-26	vsCentral Michigan	+11.5	87%
01-30	@Bowling Green	+0.6	53%
02-02	@Eastern Michigan	+2.6	61%
02-09	vsBall State	+11.5	87%
02-13	vsWestern Michigan	+10.6	85%
02-16	@Miami (OH)	-8.3	20%
02-20	vsBowling Green	+6.3	74%
02-23	@Akron	-9.5	17%
02-27	@Kent State	-2.0	42%
03-02	vsMassachusetts	+5.4	71%
03-05	vsOhio	+6.4	74%

These use today's ratings and will move as the ratings do. The projection beside a game already played, below, is fixed at the ratings dated before that game.

Games0-0

“Ours” is our projected margin for Toledo, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

No box lines for this team this season.

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 365 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.