Arkansas State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 0-0 · AdjEM +0.5, 151 of 365 nationally.

2026-27 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-10-05preseason: no games played, every team at its prior

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-10-05

Every team →

AdjEM: +0.5151 of 365
AdjO: 107.9145 of 365
AdjD: 107.4177 of 365
AdjT: 73.510 of 365

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

Fewer than two snapshots — no path to draw yet.

Four factorsraw season rates · 0 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: —
TOV%: —
OREB%: —
FTA/FGA: —
Opp eFG%: —
Opp TOV%: —
DREB%: —
Opp FTA/FGA: —

Roster15 players · as listed today

Player	Class	Last season	G	MPG	PPG
Christian HarmonG	Junior	here	32	27.6	12.8
Chandler JacksonG	Senior	here	32	26.9	10.6
Jalen HamptonG	Senior	here	30	26.2	8.3
Jaxon EllingsworthF	Senior	here	32	22.6	9.7
Matt HaymanG	Senior	here	31	22.7	11.7
TJ CaldwellG	Junior	here	32	20.2	9.4
Chudi DiorammaF	Sophomore	here	25	15.4	5.1
Royal Blue SmithG	Freshman	here	27	13.2	5.4
Joey ChammaaG	Sophomore	here	21	16.9	9.9
Fredy-Salam SyllaG	Sophomore	here	18	10.6	4.0
CJ GeathersG	Freshman	no games
Grayson BennettF	Freshman	no games
Rho OmedF	Freshman	no games
Tim MatthewsG	Freshman	no games
Weston HoneycuttG	Freshman	no games

The roster as ESPN lists it today. Before a season, some schools' lists are still last season's; a player shown with no games did not play in Division I last season.

Still to play7 games · from the ratings of 2026-10-05

Today's ratings give Arkansas State 4.1 expected wins from the 7 games left on the schedule; the hardest is at Alabama, a 2% chance.

Date	Opponent	Margin	Win
11-02	vsToledo	+3.6	64%
11-06	@Alabama	-22.4	2%
12-31	@James Madison	-0.4	48%
01-16	vsSouthern Miss	+7.9	79%
01-27	vsLouisiana	+12.3	88%
02-17	@Louisiana	+6.6	75%
02-24	@Southern Miss	+2.0	58%

These use today's ratings and will move as the ratings do. The projection beside a game already played, below, is fixed at the ratings dated before that game.

Games0-0

“Ours” is our projected margin for Arkansas State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

No box lines for this team this season.

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 365 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.