Skip to content

The Citadel

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SoCon · 8-21 · AdjEM -8.6, 274 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-8.6274 of 362
AdjO
99.9248 of 362
AdjD
108.5272 of 362
AdjT
67.8301 of 362

The Citadel went from -12.9 (#318) on 2023-11-05 to -8.6 (#274) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -2.1 (#193) on 2024-01-01.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.6%174
TOV%
16.6%222
OREB%
24.9%240
FTA/FGA
33.7%147
Opp eFG%
53.5%321
Opp TOV%
15.2%237
DREB%
74.6%119
Opp FTA/FGA
22.5%7

Résumé8-21 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-2.5208 of 362
Non-conference
-3.7303 of 362
Luck
-7.5%324 of 362
Wins above bubble
-16.5318 of 362
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
1-4
Quad 3
1-10
Quad 4
6-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Madison DurrG3233.711.94.23.345.8%52.7%21.2%27.4%75.8%
Elijah MorganG3233.014.53.91.458.4%62.4%21.4%39.8%88.9%
Quentin Millora-BrownF3232.411.29.42.060.0%59.5%18.1%15.0%54.7%
AJ SmithG2932.116.24.31.349.9%53.9%27.8%35.4%79.6%
Keynan DavisG3225.55.81.80.850.3%51.8%13.7%28.1%63.6%
Winston HillF1425.99.66.61.548.4%49.1%23.9%28.6%54.2%
Marcus PigramG3010.61.91.01.131.4%35.6%18.7%14.3%61.9%
Kam RobertsG257.82.21.40.144.5%45.2%18.6%10.0%50.0%
Colby McAllisterG257.72.00.70.253.8%54.7%14.4%45.8%57.1%
Christian MooreF914.24.72.60.655.6%56.8%16.9%34.8%100.0%
Levi BirkholzG176.10.70.60.423.7%28.1%13.0%12.5%60.0%
Tony CarpioF184.21.50.70.183.3%78.4%14.8%—63.6%
Josh DavisG144.60.40.40.435.7%35.7%9.9%33.3%—
Quinn NielsenF153.11.11.20.188.9%84.4%14.4%—0.0%
Rowan IrelanG52.20.60.40.250.0%50.0%19.2%50.0%—
Cole AlexanderF51.80.20.40.0—52.6%11.5%—50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games8-21

“Ours” is our projected margin for The Citadel, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@NC StateQ1#52L 59-72-24.7
11-10vsBoston CollegeQ3#87L 71-75-2.9
11-13@PresbyterianQ4#296L 64-71+0.3
11-20nIdaho StateQ4#259W 62-61-1.5
11-21nNorth Carolina CentralQ4#269W 67-61-1.3
11-22@CampbellQ4#306L 58-65-5.7
11-28vsCharleston SouthernQ4#319W 81-52+10.4
12-02@North Carolina A&TQ4#347W 85-68+5.4
12-14@CharlestonQ2#106L 71-86-11.0
12-19@Notre DameQ2#122W 65-45-6.5
01-03vsWestern CarolinaQ3#118L 71-80+0.7
01-06vsSamfordQ3#103L 64-80-0.4
01-10@FurmanQ3#145L 68-82-7.5
01-13vsWoffordQ4#182L 71-72+2.6
01-17@UNC GreensboroQ2#130L 67-73-10.2
01-20@VMIQ4#357L 63-70+7.5
01-24vsMercerQ4#230W 68-66+4.5
01-27@ChattanoogaQ3#140L 62-90-8.0
01-31vsFurmanQ3#145L 79-82-3.6
02-03@East Tennessee StateQ3#210L 60-62-4.3
02-07@Western CarolinaQ2#118L 64-71-10.8
02-10@WoffordQ3#182L 64-77-6.5
02-14vsUNC GreensboroQ3#130L 61-76-4.3
02-17vsVMIQ4#357W 76-51+13.0
02-21@MercerQ3#230L 78-87-3.8
02-24vsChattanoogaQ3#140W 71-62-4.2
02-28vsEast Tennessee StateQ4#210L 63-81+2.4
03-02@SamfordQ2#103L 80-92-14.7
03-08nMercerQ4#230L 76-84-1.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.