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Tennessee State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

OVC · 14-14 · AdjEM -9.0, 277 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-9.0277 of 363
AdjO
98.1261 of 363
AdjD
107.1283 of 363
AdjT
71.089 of 363

Tennessee State went from -7.0 (#273) on 2022-11-06 to -9.0 (#277) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -4.1 (#226) on 2022-11-14.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.9%162
TOV%
16.2%102
OREB%
25.1%223
FTA/FGA
35.1%68
Opp eFG%
49.9%142
Opp TOV%
17.3%148
DREB%
73.9%159
Opp FTA/FGA
42.4%350

Résumé14-14 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-8.9352 of 363
Non-conference
-7.7353 of 363
Luck
-0.9%207 of 363
Wins above bubble
-11.4240 of 363
Quad 1
0-0
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
0-2
Quad 4
14-10

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jr. ClayG3034.119.35.05.550.1%54.7%30.1%33.2%77.6%
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.G3130.413.63.33.245.0%51.5%24.7%36.0%81.2%
Dedric BoydG3025.311.12.60.358.0%59.7%19.0%39.4%86.7%
Adong MakuoiC3222.59.05.50.461.5%60.8%18.8%0.0%55.2%
Zion GriffinF2626.78.55.10.756.8%57.3%15.3%39.3%58.7%
Justin WilliamsG3221.63.72.72.235.5%41.4%12.4%22.7%71.1%
Zool KuethF3214.83.82.70.346.5%48.1%15.0%29.3%58.6%
David AcostaF3211.23.83.70.368.8%63.9%15.2%—41.0%
Christian BrownG1718.512.13.10.461.7%63.8%27.7%42.2%67.1%
Riggs AbnerG189.31.41.20.843.8%47.6%10.4%20.0%71.4%
Tajik BartholomewG198.61.41.40.636.7%38.5%12.7%25.0%50.0%
Emmanuel DowuonaF144.61.31.60.155.6%61.2%14.1%—66.7%
Jalen AnglinG93.22.00.20.153.8%60.4%26.5%44.4%100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Tennessee State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-12vsSouth Carolina StateQ4#349W 80-61+6.4
11-14vsAlabama A&MQ4#316W 87-76+4.9
11-17@Southern IllinoisQ2#121L 44-57-9.7
11-21nCal State NorthridgeQ4#336W 74-73+5.7
11-23nHigh PointQ4#281L 72-77-2.8
11-30@Saint LouisQ2#88L 63-80-16.3
12-03@Austin PeayQ4#327L 61-77-2.6
12-11vsLipscombQ4#170W 90-85+0.6
12-14vsCharleston SouthernQ4#319L 87-91+11.3
12-29vsMorehead StateQ4#224L 75-83+4.8
12-31vsLittle RockQ4#317W 94-69+7.0
01-05@SIU EdwardsvilleQ3#219L 72-81-11.4
01-07@LindenwoodQ4#334W 60-57-1.6
01-12vsUT MartinQ4#251L 66-77+3.8
01-14@Tennessee TechQ4#266L 63-71-2.6
01-19vsEastern IllinoisQ4#348W 78-74+9.9
01-21@Little RockQ4#317L 77-89-0.9
01-26@Southeast Missouri StateQ4#259L 75-92-6.9
01-28vsLindenwoodQ4#334W 83-66+6.5
02-02@Southern IndianaQ4#275W 80-76-7.6
02-04@Eastern IllinoisQ4#348W 65-61+0.9
02-09vsSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#259W 85-65+1.5
02-11vsTennessee TechQ4#266W 67-53+2.8
02-16@Morehead StateQ3#224L 64-74-5.6
02-18vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#219W 100-85-0.1
02-23@UT MartinQ4#251W 88-82-5.8
02-25vsSouthern IndianaQ4#275L 81-93+3.6
03-02nSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#259L 83-91-0.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.