Skip to content

Tarleton State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

UAC · 22-10 · AdjEM +2.2, 142 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+2.2142 of 362
AdjO
106.1133 of 362
AdjD
103.9173 of 362
AdjT
68.0298 of 362

Tarleton State went from -2.6 (#202) on 2023-11-05 to +2.2 (#142) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +2.3 (#141) on 2024-03-04.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.0%217
TOV%
15.2%120
OREB%
28.6%113
FTA/FGA
30.4%246
Opp eFG%
50.4%169
Opp TOV%
18.8%36
DREB%
68.9%329
Opp FTA/FGA
34.0%220

Résumé22-10 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-0.2152 of 362
Non-conference
+2.0136 of 362
Luck
+12.2%9 of 362
Wins above bubble
-4.195 of 362
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
3-0
Quad 3
7-3
Quad 4
12-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Lue WilliamsG3533.512.94.41.350.4%54.1%—31.1%76.1%
Emmanuel InnocentiG3531.76.66.42.946.5%50.8%—30.8%80.0%
Jakorie SmithF3530.215.74.62.047.3%51.4%—32.4%84.1%
KiAndre GaddyF3528.112.16.81.155.8%57.8%—0.0%64.8%
Devon BarnesG3527.713.02.02.252.1%59.0%—39.7%85.7%
Freddy HicksG2825.511.85.42.145.1%51.5%—25.4%73.3%
Traivar JacksonF3214.64.02.50.657.8%57.8%—0.0%55.0%
Adam MoussaG2915.24.01.42.445.1%48.1%—26.8%83.3%
Bubu BenjaminG2211.72.81.70.745.7%48.7%—23.1%75.0%
Izzy MilesG239.02.60.80.352.1%55.5%—35.7%76.9%
Dario DomingosF216.32.91.70.164.9%62.4%——52.0%
Miles LewisG148.82.10.81.240.3%40.3%—20.0%—
Jalen ThomasG86.51.80.90.638.9%37.9%——0.0%
Nasan AyalaG66.51.51.00.737.5%35.3%——30.0%
Blake BrinkmeyerF110.00.04.00.0—————
Zaakir SawyerG14.04.01.00.0100.0%100.0%———

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games22-10

“Ours” is our projected margin for Tarleton State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@VirginiaQ1#59L 50-80-15.3
11-09@Florida InternationalQ4#285W 82-65-4.9
11-14@BradleyQ1#62L 63-86-14.0
11-20nAustin PeayQ4#241W 66-59+8.9
11-22nCal State BakersfieldQ4#258W 59-40+5.9
11-29@Stephen F. AustinQ3#169W 68-66-9.6
12-02vsUT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#326W 77-75+15.8
12-18vsJacksonville StateQ4#211L 62-65+6.7
12-21@TennesseeQ1#5L 46-65-23.2
12-29@Loyola MarymountQ3#159W 79-66-8.1
01-04vsUT ArlingtonQ3#133W 78-76+5.8
01-11@California BaptistQ3#191L 63-77-1.9
01-13@Grand CanyonQ1#55L 48-74-11.8
01-18vsAbilene ChristianQ4#229W 79-71+6.7
01-20@UT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#326W 77-73+3.4
01-25vsSouthern UtahQ4#238L 70-73+6.9
01-27vsUtah TechQ4#268W 86-68+7.1
02-01@Abilene ChristianQ3#229W 76-73-0.4
02-03vsStephen F. AustinQ4#169W 75-64+1.0
02-08@Utah ValleyQ3#144W 72-61-4.3
02-10@Seattle UQ2#110W 82-77-7.2
02-15@UT ArlingtonQ2#133W 80-78-3.0
02-22vsGrand CanyonQ2#55W 77-74-5.3
02-24vsCalifornia BaptistQ4#191W 82-65+5.0
02-29@Utah TechQ4#268W 85-74+2.9
03-02@Southern UtahQ3#238W 88-83+1.3
03-07vsUtah ValleyQ3#144L 60-63+3.3
03-09vsSeattle UQ3#110W 69-66+1.6
03-15nUT ArlingtonQ3#133L 84-87-0.2
03-19vsTexas SouthernQ4#279W 82-71+10.5
03-20vsAbilene ChristianQ4#229W 86-59+8.3
03-25vsPurdue Fort WayneQ4#165L 72-73+4.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.