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East Carolina

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

American · 15-15 · AdjEM -2.9, 217 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-2.9217 of 359
AdjO
98.7226 of 359
AdjD
101.6204 of 359
AdjT
71.1100 of 359

East Carolina went from -2.4 (#257) on 2021-11-15 to -2.9 (#217) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -0.0 (#169) on 2022-01-17.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.1%293
TOV%
17.8%213
OREB%
25.0%208
FTA/FGA
33.5%82
Opp eFG%
50.5%198
Opp TOV%
17.9%137
DREB%
73.1%207
Opp FTA/FGA
31.0%200

Résumé15-15 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+2.0117 of 359
Non-conference
-3.0308 of 359
Luck
+7.6%40 of 359
Wins above bubble
-6.5169 of 359
Quad 1
1-4
Quad 2
0-6
Quad 3
3-5
Quad 4
11-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tristen NewtonG3034.817.74.85.049.9%57.5%27.5%33.3%87.9%
Vance JacksonF3031.113.16.01.251.2%53.0%23.1%40.7%67.1%
Tremont Robinson-WhiteG2926.87.22.42.945.6%49.1%17.8%33.0%80.0%
Brandon SuggsG2429.710.14.12.644.4%52.6%20.2%26.7%77.6%
Brandon JohnsonF3017.54.75.10.753.2%54.3%13.7%21.4%57.5%
J.J. MilesG2123.57.12.30.945.3%47.0%18.0%32.5%70.0%
Ludgy DebautC2816.12.44.20.543.8%45.8%9.7%33.3%58.8%
RJ FeltonG2516.65.11.60.741.1%42.7%20.9%26.3%55.2%
Alanzo FrinkF2615.85.72.70.745.9%52.0%21.6%33.3%70.3%
Javon SmallG169.22.00.61.132.9%38.7%17.4%21.7%100.0%
Alexis ReyesF106.21.50.70.040.6%44.2%16.4%21.4%100.0%
Marlon LestinF104.70.20.70.10.0%34.5%6.4%—50.0%
Dave KasanganayG55.00.80.40.025.0%28.8%18.2%25.0%50.0%
Tay MosherF41.50.00.50.30.0%0.0%25.4%0.0%—
Brenden KellyG20.50.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for East Carolina, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsSouth Carolina StateQ4#307W 70-62—
11-12vsCanisiusQ4#261W 83-71—
11-14vsWestern CarolinaQ4#302W 95-79—
11-18nOklahomaQ1#43L 74-79-6.9
11-19nOld DominionQ4#222W 73-60-3.7
11-21nDavidsonQ1#34L 67-76-4.6
11-27vsCoppin StateQ4#306W 70-68+13.9
11-30vsOld DominionQ4#222W 63-62+14.3
12-04vsGardner-WebbQ3#148W 62-52+6.3
12-07vsNorth Carolina A&TQ4#278W 82-71+8.6
12-17nLibertyQ3#103L 64-74-2.2
12-21vsSouthern MissQ4#345W 68-67+13.2
01-05vsTulaneQ3#91W 88-80+3.7
01-08@TempleQ2#130L 75-78-7.1
01-12@CincinnatiQ2#102L 71-79-11.2
01-15vsMemphisQ1#28W 72-71-1.5
01-18vsUCFQ3#108L 85-92+0.7
01-22@HoustonQ1#2L 36-79-20.9
01-27@MemphisQ1#28L 54-71-12.1
01-30vsCincinnatiQ3#102L 59-60-3.0
02-02vsTempleQ3#130L 63-71+1.7
02-05@TulaneQ2#91L 66-86-8.8
02-08@TulsaQ3#218W 73-71-4.4
02-12vsSMUQ2#44L 66-80-5.5
02-17@South FloridaQ4#283W 65-57-1.3
02-20@UCFQ2#108L 64-69-10.2
02-23vsSouth FloridaQ4#283W 64-60+7.3
02-26vsTulsaQ4#218W 64-59+3.2
03-05@Wichita StateQ2#87L 62-70-10.7
03-10nCincinnatiQ3#102L 63-74-5.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.