Mississippi Valley State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SWAC · 1-30 · AdjEM -32.2, 362 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →

AdjEM: -32.2362 of 362
AdjO: 84.2361 of 362
AdjD: 116.4359 of 362
AdjT: 66.2344 of 362

Mississippi Valley State went from -21.6 (#358) on 2023-11-05 to -32.2 (#362) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -21.6 (#358) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 42.5%360
TOV%: 21.7%361
OREB%: 25.4%219
FTA/FGA: 33.0%165
Opp eFG%: 55.6%356
Opp TOV%: 16.5%132
DREB%: 65.6%359
Opp FTA/FGA: 41.6%335

Résumé1-30 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength: -3.4236 of 362
Non-conference: +10.410 of 362
Luck: -4.8%285 of 362
Wins above bubble: -23.0357 of 362

Quad 1: 0-7
Quad 2: 0-3
Quad 3: 0-1
Quad 4: 1-19

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players18 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Rayquan BrownG	30	35.4	18.3	6.0	1.2	48.5%	52.4%	29.8%	32.3%	71.3%
Donovan SandersG	30	30.7	10.5	3.0	2.8	40.0%	43.2%	26.9%	26.4%	67.9%
Arecko GipsonG	31	26.8	8.9	4.4	0.6	42.2%	47.5%	22.7%	40.0%	64.6%
Danny WashingtonG	31	26.6	6.9	2.4	1.9	52.7%	56.4%	16.9%	37.0%	80.4%
Reginald ReynoldsF	31	18.6	4.1	2.1	0.9	42.4%	43.9%	16.0%	26.6%	54.8%
Ernest MintonG	29	13.2	1.1	1.8	0.3	28.7%	28.5%	10.2%	7.1%	0.0%
Walter HamiltonF	31	11.8	2.1	2.3	0.3	37.0%	37.9%	16.4%	35.7%	42.9%
George Ivory IIIG	29	8.2	0.8	0.4	0.2	28.4%	29.0%	11.9%	19.2%	50.0%
Jordan JohnsonG	28	8.1	0.8	0.9	0.2	20.8%	35.3%	11.3%	0.0%	72.2%
Darrius ClarkG	23	8.5	1.6	1.2	0.0	61.4%	58.7%	12.8%	20.0%	50.0%
Chidi UmehG	21	8.3	0.6	1.0	0.1	16.7%	18.0%	14.0%	15.4%	28.6%
Quorien WaldonF	24	6.9	0.3	0.9	0.0	14.3%	18.9%	7.8%	—	50.0%
Kameron MayhanF	14	6.7	1.1	1.4	0.1	41.2%	40.7%	16.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Markell PetroG	15	4.8	0.5	0.9	0.2	11.1%	28.4%	14.4%	0.0%	71.4%
Daniel UmohC	16	3.8	0.7	0.6	0.1	29.4%	30.6%	21.1%	—	50.0%
Stephon SmithF	7	4.3	1.0	1.3	0.0	40.0%	47.5%	15.0%	—	60.0%
Lamont SamsF	1	21.0	6.0	5.0	0.0	20.0%	27.4%	30.6%	—	100.0%
Jaylon SandersG	1	2.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games1-30

“Ours” is our projected margin for Mississippi Valley State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-06	@LSU	Q2#86	L 60-106	-22.0	69	11-05
11-10	@Oklahoma	Q1#45	L 43-82	-30.1	69	11-06
11-14	@UConn	Q1#1	L 53-87	-42.6	70	11-13
11-17	@TCU	Q1#35	L 52-86	-36.5	71	11-13
11-20	@Santa Clara	Q2#101	L 39-81	-27.9	71	11-13
11-24	@Cal State Northridge	Q4#250	L 48-84	-16.1	69	11-20
11-26	@Pacific	Q4#356	L 65-68	-16.1	71	11-20
12-02	@North Texas	Q1#67	L 48-79	-32.4	66	11-27
12-05	@Liberty	Q2#119	L 39-74	-34.1	68	12-04
12-11	@Gonzaga	Q1#12	L 40-78	-40.6	70	12-04
12-19	@Tulsa	Q3#208	L 50-79	-21.2	70	12-18
12-22	@Baylor	Q1#17	L 48-107	-39.8	69	12-18
12-30	@San Francisco	Q1#53	L 42-92	-36.4	68	12-25
01-06	vsAlabama State	Q4#329	L 51-54	-11.5	69	01-01
01-08	vsAlabama A&M	Q4#330	L 70-78	-6.4	70	01-01
01-13	@Prairie View A&M	Q4#325	L 60-71	-18.7	69	01-08
01-15	@Texas Southern	Q4#279	L 61-93	-18.1	69	01-08
01-20	vsBethune-Cookman	Q4#315	L 64-80	-7.3	69	01-15
01-22	vsFlorida A&M	Q4#341	L 70-81	-5.8	67	01-15
01-27	@Grambling	Q4#282	L 46-54	-18.6	67	01-22
01-29	@Southern	Q4#267	L 54-78	-23.8	69	01-22
02-03	vsArkansas-Pine Bluff	Q4#331	L 77-83	-9.3	70	01-29
02-10	vsJackson State	Q4#304	L 69-77	-12.4	69	02-05
02-12	vsAlcorn State	Q4#297	L 55-72	-10.4	67	02-05
02-17	@Alabama A&M	Q4#330	L 57-80	-14.3	70	02-12
02-19	@Alabama State	Q4#329	L 46-61	-17.6	69	02-12
02-24	vsTexas Southern	Q4#279	L 52-73	-13.3	69	02-19
02-26	vsPrairie View A&M	Q4#325	W 57-51	-10.7	69	02-19
03-02	@Arkansas-Pine Bluff	Q4#331	L 69-78	-15.8	70	02-26
03-07	@Alcorn State	Q4#297	L 67-74	-18.7	67	03-04
03-09	@Jackson State	Q4#304	L 67-68	-19.0	69	03-04

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.