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Middle Tennessee

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

CUSA · 17-14 · AdjEM +5.9, 109 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+5.9109 of 363
AdjO
104.1127 of 363
AdjD
98.296 of 363
AdjT
69.1203 of 363

Middle Tennessee went from +8.0 (#82) on 2022-11-06 to +5.9 (#109) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +8.0 (#82) on 2022-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.2%145
TOV%
18.4%280
OREB%
30.1%70
FTA/FGA
29.4%242
Opp eFG%
51.6%244
Opp TOV%
19.7%46
DREB%
74.5%133
Opp FTA/FGA
34.6%263

Résumé17-14 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+4.0102 of 363
Non-conference
+2.5122 of 363
Luck
+1.1%144 of 363
Wins above bubble
-5.2120 of 363
Quad 1
1-4
Quad 2
3-3
Quad 3
7-6
Quad 4
6-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Eli LawrenceG3230.212.24.11.450.5%54.6%21.9%34.0%81.6%
Camryn WestonG3327.910.64.62.849.1%54.3%22.9%28.9%77.3%
Teafale Lenard Jr.G3327.98.34.01.753.3%53.7%17.8%23.2%54.5%
Deandre DishmanF3327.210.55.72.150.5%52.2%23.1%50.0%57.3%
Elias KingG3322.29.34.00.556.3%57.8%20.5%40.9%74.4%
Justin BuffordG2922.45.12.30.653.0%55.4%11.9%40.0%69.7%
Jestin PorterG3315.45.91.40.748.5%51.7%23.4%32.8%74.4%
Tyler MillinF3015.14.01.90.447.0%46.7%17.2%27.6%41.7%
Jared Coleman-JonesF3111.53.72.50.453.6%55.0%20.1%50.0%66.7%
TreVon SmithG205.91.60.60.356.5%61.9%15.7%40.0%100.0%
Christian FussellF146.11.60.40.558.8%58.2%15.1%50.0%50.0%
Tre GreenG83.80.80.80.120.0%40.7%14.4%0.0%80.0%
Jack JubenvilleG51.60.00.20.40.0%0.0%38.4%—0.0%
Isiah LightsyG51.41.20.20.075.0%75.0%29.5%50.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games17-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Middle Tennessee, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-12@WinthropQ3#232L 68-76+3.0
11-15vsRiceQ4#200W 81-46+14.0
11-19@Missouri StateQ2#123L 51-75-7.1
11-25nHofstraQ2#82W 64-54-0.1
11-26nStephen F. AustinQ3#133W 75-63-0.1
11-27nMontana StateQ3#116W 72-71+1.1
11-30@St. BonaventureQ3#172L 64-71-4.3
12-10@BelmontQ2#98W 85-75-3.3
12-15vsChattanoogaQ3#151L 73-82+6.7
12-21vsMurray StateQ4#199W 83-67+7.3
12-29@CharlotteQ2#105L 67-82-4.9
12-31vsWestern KentuckyQ4#165W 65-60+9.1
01-05@UTSAQ4#305L 72-75+9.9
01-07vsNorth TexasQ2#31L 51-56-0.8
01-11@RiceQ3#200W 71-68+0.1
01-16vsUABQ2#47W 74-73-1.3
01-19vsCharlotteQ3#105W 62-58+3.2
01-21@Louisiana TechQ3#147W 68-51-2.7
01-26@Florida AtlanticQ1#15L 67-85-9.7
01-28@Florida InternationalQ3#230L 74-82+7.4
02-02vsUTEPQ4#182W 84-72+8.0
02-04vsUTSAQ4#305W 84-59+17.6
02-09@Western KentuckyQ3#165L 89-93+0.4
02-11@UABQ1#47L 69-92-7.2
02-16vsFlorida AtlanticQ1#15W 74-70-3.5
02-18vsFlorida InternationalQ4#230W 69-58+11.1
02-25vsLouisiana TechQ3#147W 63-49+6.0
03-02@North TexasQ1#31L 50-64-8.1
03-04@UTEPQ3#182L 65-77+1.9
03-09nCharlotteQ3#105W 66-65+0.2
03-10nFlorida AtlanticQ1#15L 65-68-8.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.