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Arkansas State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 17-12 · AdjEM +1.1, 156 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+1.1156 of 364
AdjO
108.6132 of 364
AdjD
107.5199 of 364
AdjT
74.515 of 364

Arkansas State went from +1.8 (#118) on 2025-11-10 to +1.1 (#156) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +2.2 (#145) on 2025-12-29.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.6%169
TOV%
19.0%351
OREB%
84.7%221
FTA/FGA
39.2%76
Opp eFG%
50.8%139
Opp TOV%
14.2%275
DREB%
13.6%152
Opp FTA/FGA
37.1%235

Games17-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Arkansas State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03@OhioW 89-85—
11-07@Stephen F. AustinL 65-90—
11-11@Missouri StateW 86-85—
11-19@Saint Mary'sL 72-85-18.0
11-21@SMUL 69-100-9.7
11-24vsJacksonville StateW 74-63+10.8
11-28vsNorth Dakota StateW 85-80+7.3
12-02vsUT ArlingtonW 83-63+2.4
12-06@Little RockW 90-78-3.6
12-13@RiceL 76-77-4.1
12-17@Texas StateW 89-70-2.3
12-20@Southern MissW 93-86-7.8
01-03vsJames MadisonL 74-78+9.7
01-07vsTroyW 86-74+5.2
01-10vsTexas StateW 83-82+12.5
01-15@South AlabamaL 87-91-3.6
01-17@TroyL 74-99-5.8
01-22@Georgia SouthernW 85-68-3.5
01-24@Georgia StateL 81-82-2.1
01-28vsOld DominionL 71-75+7.7
01-31vsMarshallL 61-70+2.3
02-04@Coastal CarolinaW 70-66-3.0
02-07vsBowling GreenW 91-54+1.1
02-11vsUL MonroeW 103-70+18.2
02-14vsSouth AlabamaL 88-92+5.2
02-19@LouisianaW 79-62+5.3
02-21@UL MonroeW 102-94+11.3
02-24vsSouthern MissW 89-84+8.3
03-05vsGeorgia SouthernL 77-80+9.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.