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Cincinnati

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

American · 17-15 · AdjEM +5.6, 102 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+5.6102 of 359
AdjO
101.8159 of 359
AdjD
96.270 of 359
AdjT
69.8170 of 359

Cincinnati went from +0.4 (#165) on 2021-11-15 to +5.6 (#102) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +8.8 (#45) on 2021-12-20.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.0%298
TOV%
14.2%18
OREB%
28.5%103
FTA/FGA
29.4%207
Opp eFG%
45.0%13
Opp TOV%
16.7%217
DREB%
71.9%249
Opp FTA/FGA
34.6%284

Résumé17-15 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+3.697 of 359
Non-conference
-1.4258 of 359
Luck
-3.5%244 of 359
Wins above bubble
-4.6132 of 359
Quad 1
1-8
Quad 2
2-2
Quad 3
2-4
Quad 4
12-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
David DeJuliusG3328.614.52.82.646.8%51.1%—29.7%82.4%
Mika Adams-WoodsG3327.58.62.63.140.3%45.0%—26.2%81.2%
Jeremiah DavenportG3226.913.45.50.850.7%53.3%—35.9%76.3%
John Newman IIIF3225.96.94.21.746.6%47.9%—33.3%55.8%
Abdul AdoF3217.42.44.50.654.5%51.4%——40.0%
Ody OguamaF3313.74.24.20.447.7%50.2%—25.0%56.5%
Hayden KovalC3312.13.13.00.343.1%47.0%—26.2%66.7%
Viktor LakhinC2910.94.23.50.254.3%54.9%—14.3%55.0%
Jarrett HensleyF337.61.51.30.243.0%46.9%—17.6%58.3%
AJ McGinnisG84.92.30.50.140.9%40.9%—23.5%—
CJ AnthonyG101.50.60.40.227.8%27.5%—14.3%25.0%
Sam MartinG91.00.20.00.150.0%50.0%———

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games17-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Cincinnati, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsEvansvilleQ4#325W 65-43—
11-13vsGeorgiaQ4#258W 73-68—
11-16vsAlabama A&MQ4#319W 89-66+13.9
11-18vsPresbyterianQ4#281W 79-45+15.9
11-22nIllinoisQ1#16W 71-51-5.2
11-23nArkansasQ1#25L 67-73+4.8
11-27vsMonmouthQ3#133L 59-61+11.4
12-01@Miami (OH)Q4#257W 59-58-8.1
12-05vsBryantQ4#195W 73-58+14.7
12-11@XavierQ1#53L 63-83-6.4
12-14vsFlorida A&MQ4#315W 77-50+17.3
12-21vsTennessee TechQ4#251W 86-75+15.6
01-01vsTulaneQ3#91L 60-68+13.0
01-06vsSMUQ2#44W 77-60+4.9
01-09@MemphisQ1#28L 80-87-8.1
01-12vsEast CarolinaQ4#217W 79-71+11.2
01-16@Wichita StateQ2#87W 61-57-3.9
01-20vsTulsaQ4#218W 90-69+11.4
01-25@TempleQ2#130L 58-61+0.6
01-30@East CarolinaQ3#217W 60-59+3.0
02-06vsHoustonQ1#2L 59-83-7.0
02-09@South FloridaQ4#283W 70-59+6.0
02-12@TulsaQ3#218L 77-83+3.2
02-15vsMemphisQ1#28L 74-81+1.0
02-17vsWichita StateQ3#87W 85-76+3.4
02-20vsTempleQ3#130L 71-75+7.3
02-23@UCFQ2#108L 61-75-2.7
02-26vsSouth FloridaQ4#283L 54-56+13.7
03-01@HoustonQ1#2L 53-71-16.8
03-03@SMUQ1#44L 71-76-7.8
03-10nEast CarolinaQ4#217W 74-63+5.7
03-11nHoustonQ1#2L 56-69-13.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.