UC Davis

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 16-14 · AdjEM -0.3, 173 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →

AdjEM: -0.3173 of 363
AdjO: 100.6205 of 363
AdjD: 100.8143 of 363
AdjT: 72.928 of 363

UC Davis went from -0.9 (#190) on 2022-11-06 to -0.3 (#173) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +2.8 (#134) on 2022-11-07.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 49.8%214
TOV%: 19.5%325
OREB%: 29.5%93
FTA/FGA: 42.8%7
Opp eFG%: 50.7%188
Opp TOV%: 19.5%52
DREB%: 73.3%188
Opp FTA/FGA: 31.5%193

Résumé16-14 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength: -2.5225 of 363
Non-conference: -1.5240 of 363
Luck: -2.0%235 of 363
Wins above bubble: -8.6180 of 363

Quad 1: 0-1
Quad 2: 0-5
Quad 3: 2-7
Quad 4: 14-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Elijah PepperG	31	35.5	22.5	5.9	3.4	51.6%	57.1%	31.9%	32.2%	81.6%
TY JohnsonG	31	28.3	14.5	4.6	2.5	46.9%	52.8%	30.2%	30.9%	72.4%
Kane MillingG	31	28.2	7.0	4.4	1.5	47.3%	52.2%	13.8%	31.8%	86.0%
Christian AnigweF	30	24.7	11.9	5.6	0.8	52.2%	54.4%	25.4%	37.5%	60.5%
Ade AdebayoF	30	24.3	4.0	4.0	0.6	61.7%	60.9%	8.3%	0.0%	54.1%
Robby BeasleyG	24	27.3	9.4	3.0	1.2	54.0%	56.8%	16.8%	42.4%	72.5%
Leo DeBruhlG	32	17.7	4.6	2.3	1.7	52.3%	55.8%	14.2%	38.3%	68.0%
Sione LoseG	29	11.9	1.2	1.9	0.7	28.2%	28.0%	10.5%	12.5%	25.0%
Niko RocakF	32	9.3	1.9	1.9	0.2	42.9%	50.0%	12.9%	—	62.5%
Francesco BorraF	12	9.3	1.5	2.0	0.5	50.0%	51.1%	12.5%	—	50.0%
Sam ManuF	14	7.1	1.6	0.9	0.1	58.8%	56.6%	13.3%	0.0%	42.9%
DeAndre HenryF	4	10.0	5.3	3.8	0.3	64.3%	66.0%	24.3%	100.0%	75.0%
Jac ManiF	3	9.7	5.0	1.7	0.0	55.0%	63.0%	20.0%	33.3%	100.0%
Patrick LambeyF	4	2.8	1.3	0.3	0.3	37.5%	50.5%	26.4%	33.3%	100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games16-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for UC Davis, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-07	@California	Q4#293	W 75-65	-3.5	68	11-06
11-12	@Loyola Marymount	Q2#117	L 75-85	+0.1	69	11-07
11-18	vsArkansas State	Q4#285	W 75-60	+5.1	70	11-14
11-22	nSacramento State	Q4#241	W 82-71	+5.3	69	11-21
11-26	@Milwaukee	Q3#240	L 85-87	+9.1	71	11-21
11-27	nSoutheast Missouri State	Q4#259	W 73-71	+3.5	72	11-21
11-28	nBoston University	Q4#246	W 81-70	+1.9	70	11-21
12-01	vsPacific	Q4#210	L 72-74	+13.5	74	11-28
12-17	@Eastern Washington	Q2#134	L 68-79	-2.0	72	12-12
12-21	@UCLA	Q1#5	L 54-81	-23.5	72	12-19
12-29	@Hawai'i	Q2#129	L 66-74	-7.9	71	12-26
01-05	vsUC Irvine	Q3#102	L 83-88	-1.5	72	01-02
01-07	vsCal State Bakersfield	Q4#307	W 67-48	+11.2	70	01-02
01-11	@Cal State Northridge	Q4#336	W 62-54	+5.8	71	01-09
01-14	vsCal State Fullerton	Q3#128	W 83-79	+5.1	71	01-09
01-16	@UC San Diego	Q4#279	W 78-70	+2.9	71	01-09
01-19	vsUC Riverside	Q3#160	L 72-74	+4.8	72	01-16
01-21	vsCal Poly	Q4#308	W 65-63	+11.3	70	01-16
01-26	@Cal State Bakersfield	Q4#307	W 79-58	+4.6	69	01-23
01-28	@Long Beach State	Q3#187	L 72-75	-3.5	75	01-23
02-02	vsHawai'i	Q3#129	W 75-63	+1.2	70	01-30
02-09	@UC Riverside	Q3#160	L 65-72	-2.2	71	02-06
02-11	@UC Santa Barbara	Q2#103	L 74-84	-7.6	69	02-06
02-15	vsCal State Northridge	Q4#336	W 73-62	+14.0	70	02-13
02-18	@UC Irvine	Q2#102	L 76-78	-8.7	71	02-13
02-20	vsUC San Diego	Q4#279	W 76-66	+11.3	71	02-13
02-25	@Cal Poly	Q4#308	W 58-52	+5.8	69	02-20
03-02	vsUC Santa Barbara	Q3#103	L 86-89	+0.5	69	02-27
03-04	vsLong Beach State	Q4#187	W 93-92	+5.3	74	02-27
03-09	nUC Riverside	Q3#160	L 52-68	+0.3	72	03-06

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.