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Michigan

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 34-3 · AdjEM +30.5, 3 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+30.53 of 364
AdjO
121.38 of 364
AdjD
90.82 of 364
AdjT
74.221 of 364

Michigan went from +4.4 (#56) on 2025-11-10 to +30.5 (#3) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +30.7 (#3) on 2026-03-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 37 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
58.3%8
TOV%
15.8%200
OREB%
248.2%18
FTA/FGA
38.1%100
Opp eFG%
44.3%1
Opp TOV%
14.2%270
DREB%
-53.5%309
Opp FTA/FGA
26.1%15

Games34-3

“Ours” is our projected margin for Michigan, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsOaklandW 121-78—
11-11vsWake ForestW 85-84+19.4
11-14@TCUW 67-63-11.0
11-19vsMiddle TennesseeW 86-61+13.3
11-24vsSan Diego StateW 94-54+10.2
11-25vsAuburnW 102-72+10.2
11-26vsGonzagaW 101-61+2.2
12-06vsRutgersW 101-60+22.5
12-09vsVillanovaW 89-61+15.1
12-13@MarylandW 101-83+12.7
12-21vsLa SalleW 102-50+29.7
12-29vsMcNeeseW 112-71+15.3
01-02vsUSCW 96-66+19.9
01-06@Penn StateW 74-72+16.1
01-10vsWisconsinL 88-91+22.8
01-14@WashingtonW 82-72+8.3
01-17@OregonW 81-71+12.7
01-20vsIndianaW 86-72+14.1
01-23vsOhio StateW 74-62+15.4
01-27vsNebraskaW 75-72+8.1
01-30@Michigan StateW 83-71-0.6
02-05vsPenn StateW 110-69+24.9
02-08@Ohio StateW 82-61+7.7
02-11@NorthwesternW 87-75+11.4
02-14vsUCLAW 86-56+15.2
02-17@PurdueW 91-80+0.7
02-21@DukeL 63-68-4.0
02-24vsMinnesotaW 77-67+19.4
03-05@IowaW 71-68+5.2
03-08vsMichigan StateW 90-80+9.3
03-13vsOhio State—+14.9
03-14vsWisconsinW 68-65+15.3
03-15vsPurdueL 72-80+9.7
03-19vsHowardW 101-80+23.6
03-27vsAlabamaW 90-77+10.1
03-29vsTennesseeW 95-62+8.8
04-04@ArizonaW 91-73-4.7
04-06vsUConnW 69-63+8.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.