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Michigan State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 23-13 · AdjEM +11.3, 48 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+11.348 of 359
AdjO
107.047 of 359
AdjD
95.864 of 359
AdjT
69.9164 of 359

Michigan State went from +3.1 (#82) on 2021-11-15 to +11.3 (#48) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +14.0 (#21) on 2022-01-31.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 36 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.0%84
TOV%
17.9%229
OREB%
28.7%97
FTA/FGA
29.9%186
Opp eFG%
48.1%82
Opp TOV%
14.4%330
DREB%
75.6%100
Opp FTA/FGA
28.3%126

Résumé23-13 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+8.89 of 359
Non-conference
+6.819 of 359
Luck
+8.5%30 of 359
Wins above bubble
+2.926 of 359
Quad 1
6-9
Quad 2
6-3
Quad 3
7-1
Quad 4
4-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Max ChristieG3530.89.33.51.544.9%49.4%18.1%31.7%82.4%
Gabe BrownF3628.911.63.81.153.7%57.2%19.9%38.2%89.4%
Tyson WalkerG3622.68.21.34.349.8%53.6%21.6%47.3%81.0%
Malik HallF3621.78.94.61.157.7%59.5%21.0%42.6%69.0%
Joey HauserF3522.27.35.31.755.4%60.0%16.9%40.8%86.2%
AJ HoggardG3620.27.02.34.845.5%48.6%23.4%21.9%63.0%
Marcus Bingham Jr.F3518.79.36.30.357.0%59.8%24.7%41.5%74.7%
Jaden AkinsG3614.83.42.40.748.2%49.9%14.1%38.0%60.7%
Julius MarbleF3614.46.43.30.359.2%62.8%22.2%0.0%76.6%
Mady SissokoC304.51.11.00.063.2%56.9%14.1%—42.9%
Pierre Brooks IIF253.70.90.50.235.0%43.9%18.6%18.2%69.2%
Davis SmithG121.50.00.10.10.0%0.0%9.9%0.0%0.0%
Michael PetersonG91.30.00.20.00.0%0.0%12.9%0.0%—
Keon ColemanF61.70.80.20.050.0%50.0%41.2%50.0%—
Steven IzzoG81.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%6.4%0.0%—
Maliq CarrG11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games23-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Michigan State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09nKansasQ1#4L 74-87—
11-12vsWestern MichiganQ4#335W 90-46—
11-17@ButlerQ3#178W 73-52-11.3
11-20vsEastern MichiganQ4#316W 83-59+14.9
11-24nLoyola ChicagoQ1#18W 63-61-1.3
11-25nUConnQ1#22W 64-60-4.3
11-26nBaylorQ1#9L 58-75-0.7
12-01vsLouisvilleQ3#160W 73-64+13.1
12-04vsToledoQ2#75W 81-68+13.6
12-08@MinnesotaQ3#141W 75-67-5.6
12-11vsPenn StateQ3#92W 80-64+13.3
12-21nOaklandQ3#149W 90-78+2.6
12-29vsHigh PointQ4#247W 81-68+20.0
01-02@NorthwesternQ2#95W 73-67-5.0
01-05vsNebraskaQ4#170W 79-67+19.2
01-12vsMinnesotaQ3#141W 71-69+10.9
01-15vsNorthwesternQ3#95L 62-64+8.2
01-21@WisconsinQ1#46W 86-74-4.2
01-25@IllinoisQ1#16L 55-56-8.0
01-29vsMichiganQ2#33W 83-67+5.5
02-01@MarylandQ2#97W 65-63+2.4
02-05@RutgersQ2#82L 63-84+3.1
02-08vsWisconsinQ2#46L 62-70+4.9
02-12vsIndianaQ2#55W 76-61+5.0
02-15@Penn StateQ2#92L 58-62+1.1
02-19vsIllinoisQ1#16L 74-79-0.6
02-22@IowaQ1#13L 60-86-6.6
02-26vsPurdueQ1#12W 68-65-2.3
03-01@MichiganQ1#33L 70-87-3.5
03-03@Ohio StateQ1#26L 69-80-6.2
03-06vsMarylandQ3#97W 77-67+7.4
03-10nMarylandQ2#97W 76-72+3.3
03-11nWisconsinQ1#46W 69-63-0.8
03-12nPurdueQ1#12L 70-75-5.9
03-18nDavidsonQ1#34W 74-73-1.0
03-20nDukeQ1#10L 76-85-6.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.