#20Jordan James

RB·Oregon·20244.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jordan James is a Featured Back for Oregon. Jordan's 2024 season ranks in the 85th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 250 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jordan James's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

1267 Rush yards15 Rush TD233 Carries5.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

26 Receptions209 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.0 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns19 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency85
Volume78
Explosiveness48
Consistency86
Receiving41

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)85th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the RB position (85th percentile).
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.71 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Purdue (SP+ -16).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Nick Wilson	Arizona	2014	250	0.410	5.2	102.5
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Ameer Abdullah	Nebraska	2014	262	0.380	5.3	99.6
LeVante Bellamy	Western Michigan	2019	269	0.400	5.4	107.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsIdaho	W24-14	—	15	95	6.3	1	4	40	0	0.59
2	vsBoise State	W37-34	10.1	17	102	6.0	0	0	2	0	0.22
3	@Oregon State	W49-14	-6.7	12	86	7.2	2	2	0	0	0.71
5	@UCLA	W34-13	-1.3	20	103	5.2	1	2	15	0	0.44
6	vsMichigan State	W31-10	-4.6	24	166	6.9	1	1	4	0	0.32
7	vsOhio State	W32-31	31.2	23	115	5.0	1	1	6	0	0.15
8	@Purdue	W35-0	-16.2	10	50	5.0	2	1	6	0	0.71
9	vsIllinois	W38-9	9.6	15	83	5.5	0	2	17	0	0.36
10	@Michigan	W38-17	10.6	23	117	5.1	1	—	—	—	0.10
11	vsMaryland	W39-18	-3.9	7	29	4.1	1	2	27	0	0.54
12	@Wisconsin	W16-13	3.0	25	121	4.8	1	2	25	0	0.22
14	vsWashington	W49-21	3.1	15	99	6.6	2	4	40	0	0.51
15	vsPenn State	W45-37	24.6	20	87	4.4	2	3	20	0	0.37
20	vsOhio State	L21-41	31.2	7	14	2.0	0	2	7	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

27.3%

Passing plays

6.1%

Rushing plays

48.4%

Standard downs

32.3%

Passing downs

14.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.34
Passing downs: 0.34
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.37 / 0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.