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Jeremiyah Love

#4Jeremiyah Love

RB·Notre Dame·202520243.2 pts line value1st Round

Jeremiyah Love is a 2-year Featured Back for Notre Dame. Jeremiyah's 2025 season ranks in the 70th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 216 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jeremiyah Love's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
1372 Rush yards18 Rush TD199 Carries6.9 Yards/carry
Receiving
27 Receptions280 Rec yards3 Rec TD10.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency70
  • Volume86
  • Explosiveness78
  • Consistency68
  • Receiving60
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)70th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency68th %ile · average
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.28 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.56 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Syracuse (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.3404.399.3
Breece HallIowa State0.3404.5102.3
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7
Royce FreemanOregon0.3605.199.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.5601.56Wk 1 vs Miami: -0.05 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Texas A&M: +0.11 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Purdue: +0.62 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Arkansas: +0.56 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Boise State: +0.06 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs NC State: +0.22 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs USC: +0.46 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Boston College: +0.29 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Navy: +0.67 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Pittsburgh: +0.19 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Syracuse: +1.56 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Stanford: +0.01 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@MiamiL24-2720.710333.304260-0.05
3vsTexas A&ML40-4120.723944.1145310.11
4vsPurdueW56-30-6.1191578.320.62
5@ArkansasW56-135.114574.1257020.56
6vsBoise StateW28-73.1161036.4111100.06
7vsNC StateW36-74.818864.820.22
8vsUSCW34-2416.9242289.5153700.46
10@Boston CollegeW25-10-8.5171368.0243000.29
11vsNavyW49-106.213947.2212700.67
12@PittsburghW37-158.4231476.4122000.19
13vsSyracuseW70-7-13.1817121.431.56
14@StanfordW49-20-11.814664.711600.01

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
30.2%
Passing plays
9.9%
Rushing plays
47.5%
Standard downs
33.2%
Passing downs
23.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.28
Passing downs
0.53
Pass / Rush EPA
0.63 / 0.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.760−0.642025
EPA per play · 2024 — 2025 · 28 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2024Notre Dame
3.7
83.2
2025Notre Dame
3.2
50.5

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.