#4Jeremiyah Love

RB·Notre Dame·2025 20243.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jeremiyah Love is a 2-year Explosive Back for Notre Dame. Jeremiyah's 2024 season ranks in the 93th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 183 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jeremiyah Love's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

1125 Rush yards17 Rush TD163 Carries6.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

28 Receptions237 Rec yards2 Rec TD8.5 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns0 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency93
Volume55
Explosiveness78
Consistency75
Receiving62

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)93th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.20 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.17 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Army (SP+ 9).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Nick Wilson	Arizona	2014	250	0.410	5.2	102.5
Tyjae Spears	Tulane	2022	234	0.450	5.7	105.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Texas A&M	W23-13	17.0	14	91	6.5	1	1	3	0	0.17
2	vsNorthern Illinois	L14-16	-3.5	11	79	7.2	1	2	10	0	0.38
3	@Purdue	W66-7	-16.2	10	109	10.9	1	2	18	0	0.58
4	vsMiami (OH)	W28-3	1.3	11	60	5.5	1	1	9	0	0.42
5	vsLouisville	W31-24	13.6	11	34	3.1	1	5	27	1	-0.08
7	vsStanford	W49-7	-8.2	6	53	8.8	1	1	25	0	0.70
8	vsGeorgia Tech	W31-13	1.9	14	36	2.6	1	3	57	0	-0.07
9	vsNavy	W51-14	3.5	12	102	8.5	2	1	-2	0	0.62
11	vsFlorida State	W52-3	-3.2	9	19	2.1	1	1	13	0	0.04
12	vsVirginia	W35-14	-5.1	16	137	8.6	2	1	2	0	0.46
13	vsArmy	W49-14	9.2	7	130	18.6	2	1	6	1	1.17
14	@USC	W49-35	11.9	13	99	7.6	1	3	38	0	0.48
20	vsPenn State	W27-24	24.6	11	46	4.2	1	1	6	0	—
20	vsGeorgia	W23-10	24.3	6	19	3.2	0	1	2	0	—
20	vsIndiana	W27-17	20.1	8	108	13.5	1	2	18	0	—
20	vsOhio State	L23-34	31.2	4	3	0.8	0	2	5	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

19.2%

Passing plays

6.5%

Rushing plays

29.9%

Standard downs

22.0%

Passing downs

12.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.32
Passing downs: 0.20
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.25 / 0.31

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 — 2025 · 28 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2024	Notre Dame	3.7	0.450	—	83.2
2025	Notre Dame	3.2	0.250	-0.20	50.5

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.