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Ducks at Wild
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Final/OTTV BSWI+, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Victor Rask scoring at 2:46. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Rask's goal at 2:46 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 22, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.0 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Rask (1 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 A), 3. Ryan Miller (21 saves, .840).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    V. Rask1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Miller21 saves, .840

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA150321202322
MINMIN112270412425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(9)
    J. Mahura (3), J. Manson (6)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:02
  2. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(7)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (23), K. Fiala (20)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    16:32

2nd period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(7)
    K. Kaprizov (24), M. Zuccarello (23)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:05
  2. MIN
    N. Bonino(10)
    N. Sturm (6)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    15:56

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Zegras(3)
    M. Comtois (17), J. Drysdale (5)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    2:18
  2. ANA
    M. Comtois(16)
    R. Rakell (19), T. Terry (13)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    19:34

Overtime

  1. MIN
    V. Rask(10)
    M. Dumba (15), M. Zuccarello (24)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:46

Penalties

ANA 10 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:50ANATroy Terry · High sticking double minordrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek4 min

2nd

  • 5:22ANARyan Getzlaf · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 18:38ANASimon Benoit · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 5:37MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 12:12MINIan Cole · Playing without a helmetdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 12:12ANAMax Jones · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ian Cole2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalANA goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Rask, OT 2:46 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.36K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.21R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.19M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.19N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.15J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.14J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.14M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.13K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.13V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.13N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.12K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.12N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.11M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.06J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsMIN
1.43 G
All situations
4 G3.3
0.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA22%78%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsMIN
22
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
5
Hits
6
7
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+100.00100—27:06
34J. DrysdaleD011+110.04000—25:38
42J. MansonD011000.02010—20:20
48I. LundestromC000+110.080005819:57
43D. HeinenL000000.00000—18:51
46T. ZegrasC101+130.170005318:04
53M. ComtoisL112+120.08010—18:02
67R. RakellR112+120.10010—16:42
86S. BenoitD000-200.02212—16:20
76J. MahuraD011+210.05000—16:19
32J. LarssonD000-110.03000—15:26
61T. TerryR011+140.53004—15:01
49M. JonesL000030.07012—14:26
15R. GetzlafC000-100.000125313:27
92A. VolkovR000-110.05010—12:33
23S. SteelC000000.000005011:06
39S. CarrickC000020.03200010:54
20N. DeslauriersL000-110.120003309:22
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(O)25214.8402.97-1.0361:48

Season series

MIN leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).