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Ducks at Wild
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Minnesota Wild
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-N+·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Sturm's goal at 7:01 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were ANA 30, MIN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (2 G), 2. Ryan Suter (2 A), 3. Cam Talbot (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Suter2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11117012230
MINMIN2111906326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(2)
    R. Suter (10), K. Kaprizov (16)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:46
  2. ANA
    D. Grant(2)
    J. Manson (1), R. Getzlaf (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:10
  3. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(3)PPG
    R. Suter (11)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    19:52

2nd period

  1. ANA
    M. Comtois(10)
    I. Lundestrom (3)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:22
  2. MIN
    N. Sturm(4)
    N. Bjugstad (8), C. Soucy (9)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    7:01

Penalties

ANA 26 PIM·MIN 12 PIM

1st

  • 9:21MINJoseph Cramarossa · Fightingdrawn by Max Jones5 min
  • 9:21ANAMax Jones · Fightingdrawn by Joseph Cramarossa5 min
  • 9:34ANARyan Getzlaf · Instigatordrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 9:34ANARyan Getzlaf · Fightingdrawn by Carson Soucy5 min
  • 9:34MINCarson Soucy · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf5 min
  • 9:34ANARyan Getzlaf · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:04ANAJani Hakanpää · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 4:05ANATrevor Zegras · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 19:58MINNick Bonino · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalANA goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Nico Sturm, 2nd 7:01 — MIN 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.24N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.16N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.15K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.00N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsMIN
1.52 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA42%58%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
26
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/1
Power play
1/3
26
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
11
9
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD000-120.07110—23:06
42J. MansonD011+130.09110—20:38
4C. FowlerD000-100.01010—20:23
28J. HakanpääD000010.03412—19:01
67R. RakellR000+110.09100—18:48
34J. DrysdaleD000+100.00000—18:33
53M. ComtoisL101020.2711010018:24
45A. WelinskiD000040.08000—18:11
48I. LundestromC011+120.061006317:55
61T. TerryR000-200.00010—15:28
38D. GrantC101+130.160008315:25
33J. SilfverbergR000010.08020—15:02
14A. HenriqueC000-210.001008114:31
23S. SteelC000020.080005014:06
46T. ZegrasC000-130.12002012:45
15R. GetzlafC011+110.1410173612:26
49M. JonesL000+120.11405—11:43
20N. DeslauriersL000020.07110—10:48
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)26233.8851.82-1.1857:53

Season series

MIN leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).