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Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-N, FS-SD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Steel's goal at 12:00 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 16% to 33%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were MIN 27, ANA 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (1 G), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek, 3. Sam Steel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    S. Steel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2907111327
ANAANA031608117

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:27
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:05

2nd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    12:00

3rd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    16:15

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ANA 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:49ANAJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 13:47MINKevin Fiala · Holding the stickdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 14:42MINMarcus Foligno · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:32ANAHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 7:12ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 13:42ANADerek Grant · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 13:42MINKevin Fiala · Roughingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min

3rd

  • 1:59ANARyan Getzlaf · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 14:15ANACarter Rowney · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Steel, 2nd 12:00 — ANA 16% → 33%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.13M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.13S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.12M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.11C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.11S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.11M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.08S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.08C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
2.73 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN67%33%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
27
Shots on goal
17
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-110.07010—24:20
24M. DumbaD000+220.09300—22:25
46J. SpurgeonD000040.23000—22:21
14J. Eriksson EkC000+220.283005320:59
22K. FialaL101+150.56004—17:34
59C. AddisonD000-100.00100—17:28
28I. ColeD000+100.00030—17:10
36M. ZuccarelloR011+110.16010—16:31
17M. FolignoL101020.10312—15:58
57D. MermisD000+310.07320—15:54
18J. GreenwayL000-100.00500—15:41
90M. JohanssonL000-110.100103315:03
97K. KaprizovL000020.310005014:39
11Z. PariseL011+100.000105014:06
38R. HartmanR101+130.601006713:12
13N. BoninoC011+100.000205512:02
27N. BjugstadC000020.043006709:55
7N. SturmC000+110.03100009:47
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)17161.9411.73+0.7358:55

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).