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Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 16:17 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 29, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jared Spurgeon (1 A), 3. Jani Hakanpää.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Hakanpää

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2111929529
ANAANA0619012127

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:07
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:17

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.29win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    3:00
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    16:29

3rd period

  1. MIN
    slapxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:45
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.12
    5-1
    14:26

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:27MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 19:50MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min
  • 19:50ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:50ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 2:32ANATroy Terry · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 11:51MINIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 12:06MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Sam Steel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 1st 16:17 — MIN 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.15D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.13R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.12M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09D. Backes · Goal · xG 0.09J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01
ANA1 G · 2.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
2.65 G
All situations
1 G2.0
2.14 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN60%40%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
29
Shots on goal
27
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD011+110.05210—23:07
25J. BrodinD000+120.05210—20:30
20R. SuterD000+110.03020—20:08
28I. ColeD000+100.02112—19:14
46J. SpurgeonD011020.09110—18:48
59C. AddisonD000+220.02100—18:24
97K. KaprizovL022+100.16010—16:45
22K. FialaL213+250.75000—16:44
18J. GreenwayL011+120.15102—15:53
14J. Eriksson EkC101+220.220026715:25
49V. RaskC101+130.190009314:52
36M. ZuccarelloR112+120.25000—14:49
17M. FolignoL000010.09110—14:47
11Z. PariseL000010.03010—14:10
38R. HartmanR011+110.041122714:09
27N. BjugstadC000030.281005012:30
13N. BoninoC000000.000206712:21
7N. SturmC000010.15200011:34
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)27261.9632.01+1.0159:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).