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Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-W·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 1:53 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 32, ANA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Carter Rowney (2 A), 3. Ryan Hartman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Rowney2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11611115332
ANAANA0621305224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    13:51

2nd period

  1. MIN
    N. Bonino(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    5:50
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.26win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    8:58
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.20win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    12:21

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:53

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:35ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 13:08MINMathew Dumba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:24ANARyan Getzlaf · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Kaapo Kahkonen2 min

2nd

  • 4:34ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 14:37MINMarcus Foligno · Delaying game2 min

3rd

  • 11:32ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 3rd 1:53 — MIN 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Deslauriers · Goal · xG 0.26C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.20D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.19C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.17R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.15M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.11S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.11C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.09D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.04S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.02A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.02M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
2.83 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN56%44%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
32
Shots on goal
24
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
19
13
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000030.28230—23:53
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.04310—23:40
13N. BoninoC101-250.351105820:06
20R. SuterD000010.04100—19:04
22K. FialaL000-210.05100—18:56
24M. DumbaD000-130.27102—18:41
11Z. PariseL000-130.560306017:35
14J. Eriksson EkC112+150.260204217:25
28I. ColeD000+100.00320—17:08
97K. KaprizovL011+100.13300—16:46
21C. SoucyD000+110.15200—16:25
90M. JohanssonL000-100.00000—15:13
17M. FolignoL000000.0010210014:27
18J. GreenwayL011+200.00000—14:08
49V. RaskC000000.001002511:52
38R. HartmanR101+140.36000—10:44
27N. BjugstadC000020.181003310:19
7N. SturmC000030.11020009:38
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)24222.9172.43+0.4360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).