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Lightning at Panthers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, BSSUN·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Schenn's goal at 4:52 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 15% to 30%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.1, FLA 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 29, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.8 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Wennberg (3 G), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Wennberg3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL01311402129
FLAFLA114311110535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Wennberg(14)
    G. Forsling (11), M. Weegar (30)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:44

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett(10)PPG
    A. Barkov (31), J. Huberdeau (41)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    3:07
  2. TBL
    L. Schenn(2)
    Y. Gourde (19), B. Goodrow (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:52
  3. FLA
    A. Wennberg(15)
    F. Vatrano (8)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    12:54
  4. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(20)
    S. Bennett (17)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    14:53

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Wennberg(16)
    O. Tippett (11), G. Forsling (12)
    wristxG 0.02
    1-5
    13:38

Penalties

TBL 78 PIM·FLA 76 PIM

1st

  • 15:25FLARyan Lomberg · Hookingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 18:41TBLFredrik Claesson · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

2nd

  • 2:21TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 6:17FLARyan Lomberg · Instigatordrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
  • 6:17FLARyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 6:17FLARyan Lomberg · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 6:17TBLLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 10:41TBLOndrej Palat · Cross checkingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 16:12FLAFrank Vatrano · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 20:00FLABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 20:00TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 20:00FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min

3rd

  • 4:58TBLLuke Schenn · Cross checkingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 5:56TBLBlake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
  • 5:56FLAKeith Yandle · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 9:58FLASam Bennett · Misconduct10 min
  • 9:58TBLFredrik Claesson · Misconduct10 min
  • 9:58TBLRoss Colton · Roughingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 9:58TBLRoss Colton · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:58FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 13:58TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 13:58TBLPatrick Maroon · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:58FLABrandon Montour · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:58TBLYanni Gourde · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:58FLARyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:17TBLBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 17:17TBLBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Noel Acciari5 min
  • 17:17FLANoel Acciari · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 17:17TBLLuke Schenn · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:17FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:42FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTBL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Luke Schenn, 2nd 4:52 — TBL 15% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.16O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.15R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.07A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.07R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.02A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 2.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsFLA
2.11 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL48%52%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/5
Power play
1/6
78
Penalty minutes
76
36
Hits
38
11
Blocked shots
7
18
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000000.00000—25:39
81E. CernakD000-200.00202—23:40
58D. SavardD000-330.09510—20:36
17A. KillornL000-120.24110—19:08
21B. PointC000-100.060007317:54
71A. CirelliC000-120.081002716:55
20B. ColemanL000050.36212—16:49
2L. SchennD101010.143117—15:47
56B. ThomasD000010.04120—15:24
19B. GoodrowC011000.005075715:10
14P. MaroonL000-110.245012—14:04
9T. JohnsonC000-130.3010010013:54
18O. PalatL000-230.19112—13:48
79R. ColtonC000010.0721125012:37
37Y. GourdeC011+150.2330122012:24
7M. JosephR000-220.08200—11:55
3F. ClaessonD000-100.001312—11:44
67M. StephensC000-100.001005809:21
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)35305.8572.25-2.7560:00

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).