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Panthers at Lightning
NHL

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Final/OTTV NBCSN, BSFL·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Victor Hedman scoring at 0:54. The Panthers scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 0:54 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were FLA 38, TBL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.6 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (36 saves, .947), 2. Aleksander Barkov, 3. Victor Hedman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA1130911501238
TBLTBL04181512319

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(13)
    A. Wennberg (9), M. Nutivaara (5)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:13

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(11)PPG
    A. Vasilevskiy (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    13:28

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(5)
    J. Huberdeau (30), M. Nutivaara (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +30 pts
    2-1
    7:13
  2. TBL
    R. Colton(8)
    M. Sergachev (23), B. Coleman (13)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    9:57

Overtime

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(8)
    A. Killorn (14)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:54

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 6:33TBLOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara2 min
  • 12:05FLARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 19:15TBLBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 1:42FLAAnthony Duclair · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 2:13TBLAlex Killorn · High stickingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalFLA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, OT 0:54 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.25T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.08O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.07O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.04A. Barré-Boulet · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barré-Boulet · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 1.4 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTBL
2.72 G
All situations
3 G1.4
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA74%26%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 1.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTBL
38
Shots on goal
19
66%
Faceoffs
34%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
35
11
Blocked shots
7
0
Giveaways
1
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000-130.30010—24:28
42G. ForslingD000000.00200—22:31
16A. BarkovC000-260.512106120:50
65M. NutivaaraD022+240.07200—19:27
11J. HuberdeauL011010.1810010018:27
70P. HornqvistR101+180.79210—18:24
3K. YandleD000-120.02100—18:02
62B. MontourD000+200.06110—17:59
97N. GusevL000-130.17000—17:54
21A. WennbergC011+110.070107316:28
77F. VatranoR000+110.03200—14:55
7R. GudasD000-110.00502—14:06
19M. MarchmentL000-110.11300—13:59
91A. DuclairL101+130.17002—13:42
71L. WallmarkC000+110.020105513:37
55N. AcciariC000010.022508813:25
74O. TippettR000010.11200—10:44
83J. LammikkoC000010.051006710:27
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(O)19163.8421.40-1.6060:48

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).