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Lightning at Panthers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers

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Tampa Bay Lightning
0
Florida Panthers
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juho Lammikko's goal at 8:23 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.3, FLA 2.2; shots on goal were TBL 30, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected; Chris Driedger stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Driedger (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Juho Lammikko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Driedger30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Lammikko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL08012010030
FLAFLA1917214430

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Weegar(6)
    M. Marchment (8), J. Lammikko (1)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:19

2nd period

  1. FLA
    J. Lammikko(4)SHG
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    0-2
    8:23

3rd period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(18)
    A. Duclair (22), A. Barkov (32)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    2:27
  2. FLA
    A. Wennberg(17)
    R. Gudas (9), K. Yandle (24)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    0-4
    14:07

Penalties

TBL 19 PIM·FLA 19 PIM

1st

  • 0:51FLACarter Verhaeghe · High sticking double minordrawn by Mathieu Joseph4 min
  • 3:05TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Juho Lammikko2 min
  • 6:42FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 17:11FLAFrank Vatrano · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 17:11TBLJan Rutta · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

2nd

  • 7:29FLAKeith Yandle · Holdingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 10:08TBLGemel Smith · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 13:42TBLJan Rutta · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 13:42TBLJan Rutta · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 13:42TBLDaniel Walcott · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Connauton5 min
  • 13:42FLAKevin Connauton · Fightingdrawn by Daniel Walcott5 min
  • 13:42FLAMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 19:58FLARyan Lomberg · Interferencedrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

3rd

  • 9:09TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 15:01TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTBL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Juho Lammikko, 2nd 8:23 — FLA 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Lammikko · Goal · xG 0.17M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.16A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.14A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11A. Heponiemi · Missed · xG 0.11A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.06A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.06A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.03G. Denisenko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02G. Denisenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsFLA
2.30 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL51%49%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
30
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/5
Power play
0/5
19
Penalty minutes
19
39
Hits
33
11
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
23
3
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-320.05002—24:03
81E. CernakD000-320.02300—20:52
58D. SavardD000000.00310—20:04
17A. KillornL000-240.41102—19:30
37Y. GourdeC000-140.282125719:14
21B. PointC000-220.330007518:11
44J. RuttaD000-100.03016—16:49
3F. ClaessonD000010.02120—16:18
20B. ColemanL000020.50610—15:09
9T. JohnsonC000020.143106714:54
2L. SchennD000030.06210—14:25
79R. ColtonC000-350.3521010013:55
71A. CirelliC000-200.001107313:40
7M. JosephR000-110.01200—13:38
60A. Barré-BouletC000-110.02100013:17
67M. StephensC000000.033006312:57
46G. SmithC000000.002124011:26
85D. WalcottL000-110.03705—10:03
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)30264.8672.22-1.7860:00

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).