Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 18:40 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 13% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 31, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 2 A), 3. Claude Giroux (2 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Crosby2 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Guentzel1 G, 2 A

- ★★★C. Giroux2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
1-01:44
2nd period
2-03:10
3-05:44
3-18:21
3-218:40
3rd period
4-27:49
4-310:23
5-312:33
6-315:53
7-316:57
Penalties
1st
- 13:58
Justin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
2nd
- 1:32
Mark Friedman · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min
- 1:32
Joel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Mark Friedman5 min
- 1:32
Jakub Voracek · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
- 11:03
Sidney Crosby · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
- 11:03
Travis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
- 13:56
Jared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
3rd
- 15:53
Shayne Gostisbehere · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sean Couturier, 2nd 18:40 — 13% → 29%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.46 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.3
- 1.94 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.32 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.23
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 17
- Hits
- 24
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 5
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
