Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Flyers scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 3:39 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 37% to 53%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.4, PIT 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 42, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.5 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 40 of 42 (.952). Three stars: 1. Kasperi Kapanen (2 G), 2. Tristan Jarry (40 saves, .952), 3. Joel Farabee (2 G).
Three stars
- ★K. Kapanen2 G

- ★★T. Jarry40 saves, .952

- ★★★J. Farabee2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-02:32
1-13:39
1-28:41
1-310:45
3rd period
2-311:00
2-412:08
2-516:06
Penalties
1st
- 1:48
Zachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min
- 3:57
Mike Matheson · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
- 19:44
Claude Giroux · Hookingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
2nd
- 7:31
Michael Raffl · Interferencedrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
- 12:14
Sam Lafferty · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
- 19:45
Evgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
3rd
- 2:13
Sam Lafferty · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
- 16:42
Michael Raffl · Roughingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, 2nd 3:39 — 37% → 53%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.42 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.5
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.8
- 1.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.47
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 42
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 62%
- Faceoffs
- 38%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 33
- Hits
- 30
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 8
- Giveaways
- 8
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
