Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 5:37 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — PIT 1.9, PHI 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 34, PHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.9 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Farabee (1 G, 3 A), 2. Erik Gustafsson (2 A), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Farabee1 G, 3 A

- ★★E. Gustafsson2 A

- ★★★K. Hayes1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-05:12
1-115:11
1-219:52
2nd period
2-23:39
2-318:54
3rd period
3-33:01
3-45:37
3-512:14
3-612:34
Penalties
1st
- 5:44
Scott Laughton · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
- 13:47
Cody Ceci · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
- 19:44
Mike Matheson · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
2nd
- 1:52
Jakub Voracek · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min
- 7:23
Nolan Patrick · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
3rd
- 0:39
served by J. McCann · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Michael Raffl, 3rd 5:37 — 52% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.93 G
- All situations
- 6 G2.1
- 1.72 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.8
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.03
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 2/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 23
- Hits
- 31
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 10
- Giveaways
- 10
- 8
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
