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Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 5:58 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 37, PHI 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.4 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Lyon (35 saves, .946), 2. Claude Giroux (2 G, 1 A), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    A. Lyon35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT011011215237
PHIPHI32011738745

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:58
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    14:08
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    15:12

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    7:50

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(21)PPG
    K. Letang (35), E. Malkin (17)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    2:30
  2. PIT
    J. Zucker(8)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    8:24
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.20win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    11:37
  4. PHI
    C. Giroux(16)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.46
    2-6
    17:39
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.18
    2-7
    18:55

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:56PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 13:18PITKasperi Kapanen · Interferencedrawn by Philippe Myers2 min

2nd

  • 17:52PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 17:52PHIScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 19:14PHIPhilippe Myers · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 1:48PHIIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min
  • 4:03PHIRobert Hagg · Hookingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 6:28PHIJoel Farabee · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
  • 14:25PITJake Guentzel · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 1st 5:58 — PHI 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.46J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.20C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.19R. Hagg · Goal · xG 0.18S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.17K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.14T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.14W. Allison · Goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.08W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI7 G · 3.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
2.92 G
All situations
6 G3.5
2.10 G
Even strength
5 G2.8
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT48%52%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
37
Shots on goal
45
32%
Faceoffs
68%
2/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011-220.05440—25:19
6J. MarinoD011-200.00300—21:18
87S. CrosbyC101-440.540002120:10
59J. GuentzelC000-430.31132019:34
17B. RustR000-410.15000—19:11
8B. DumoulinD000-100.00030—19:02
4C. CeciD000-310.00100—18:11
28M. PetterssonD000-120.11112—16:03
77J. CarterC000-120.090005015:48
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.07200—14:44
71E. MalkinC011-330.340023514:07
53T. BluegerC000050.510102013:41
42K. KapanenR011-240.40002—13:30
52M. FriedmanD000-220.04240—13:02
11F. GaudreauC000000.00000013:01
7C. SceviourC000030.11310012:59
16J. ZuckerL101-220.18100—12:34
19J. McCannL000020.04000—11:29
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)37334.8922.58-1.4240:00
35T. Jarry752.7140.49-1.5119:27

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).