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Flyers at Penguins
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3. The Flyers came back from three goals down. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 17:52 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were PHI 35, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nicolas Aube-Kubel (2 A), 3. Jared McCann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Giroux2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Aube-Kubel2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. McCann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI111113211435
PITPIT31101008329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:46
  2. PIT
    M. Friedman(1)
    S. Crosby (12), J. Guentzel (12)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:20
  3. PIT
    J. McCann(4)
    K. Kapanen (8), E. Malkin (10)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    3:57
  4. PHI
    S. Couturier(6)PPG
    T. Konecny (4), J. Voracek (11)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    11:32

2nd period

  1. PHI
    C. Giroux(2)
    O. Lindblom (4), N. Aube-Kubel (4)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:49

3rd period

  1. PHI
    S. Laughton(6)
    C. Giroux (14), T. Konecny (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    13:37
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(3)
    N. Aube-Kubel (5), O. Lindblom (5)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +44 pts
    4-3
    17:52

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:50PHINolan Patrick · Boardingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 10:25PITBryan Rust · Interferencedrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 12:51PITJake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

3rd

  • 3:47PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, 3rd 17:52 — PHI 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.27M. Friedman · Goal · xG 0.20J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.16B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.16E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09A. Angello · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI57%43%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
35
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
42
Hits
38
9
Blocked shots
6
1
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+230.05330—26:54
61J. BraunD000+200.00200—22:23
6T. SanheimD000-200.05110—21:09
14S. CouturierC101-140.320006419:52
53S. GostisbehereD000010.08110—18:52
25J. van RiemsdykL000-120.11000—17:51
13K. HayesR000030.165022917:47
21S. LaughtonC101+130.2110104017:45
93J. VoracekR011-140.33100—17:21
11T. KonecnyR022+120.21010—16:36
23O. LindblomL022+120.26000—14:39
8R. HaggD000010.02510—14:12
28C. GirouxR213+240.560005014:08
5P. MyersD000-230.06310—13:21
62N. Aube-KubelR022+100.00400—12:29
19N. PatrickC000-110.16202011:10
12M. RafflL000-110.11300—10:55
82C. BunnamanC000-110.0720010008:36
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)29263.8972.42-0.5860:00

Season series

PHI leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).