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Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, NBCSP·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 10:41 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 22, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.9 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Tanev (2 A), 3. Scott Laughton (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Tanev2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Laughton2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI162808322
PITPIT2711119427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:08
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(5)PPG
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    7:54
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.35win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    18:01

2nd period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    1:20
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    12:04
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    18:10

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.27win prob +32 pts
    3-4
    10:41

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·PIT 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:56PITEvgeni Malkin · Interferencedrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 6:33PHIIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 11:38PITZachary Aston-Reese · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 11:38PHIRobert Hagg · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 13:34PITMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 17:49PHIMichael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 19:24PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

2nd

  • 4:17PHITravis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 8:47PITMarcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 11:28PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 11:28PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jared McCann, 3rd 10:41 — PIT 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.71B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.35J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.27K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.17B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 2.8 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
1.93 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 58 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI45%55%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
22
Shots on goal
27
65%
Faceoffs
35%
1/4
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
12
32
Hits
35
14
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000000.00100—24:48
9I. ProvorovD011-100.00012—23:12
53S. GostisbehereD101+250.18110—21:19
13K. HayesR101060.362105420:03
11T. KonecnyR112010.26512—18:17
21S. LaughtonC022+110.303108017:53
86J. FarabeeL000-100.00100—17:47
14S. CouturierC000-100.000307217:45
25J. van RiemsdykL000020.12212—16:18
28C. GirouxR000030.320006716:04
61J. BraunD000-100.00020—15:12
8R. HaggD000+100.00812—14:29
23O. LindblomL000-120.12110—14:23
39N. ProsserD000-100.00000—13:38
93J. VoracekR011+110.14000—12:24
19N. PatrickC000010.072006412:19
62N. Aube-KubelR000000.00600—11:38
12M. RafflL000000.000125006:16
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)27234.8522.12-1.8858:42

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).