Blue Jackets at Hurricanes 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

Carolina Hurricanes

▸2

Final/OTTV BSSO, BSOH·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1 in overtime, Dougie Hamilton scoring at 4:07. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 4:07 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.8, CAR 2.7; shots on goal were CBJ 32, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dougie Hamilton (1 G), 2. Alex Nedeljkovic (31 saves, .969), 3. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G).

Three stars

★
D. Hamilton1 G
★★
A. Nedeljkovic31 saves, .969
★★★
T. Teravainen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
CBJ	19	010	011	02	132
CAR	113	05	012	13	233

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

M. Domi(8)
O. Bjorkstrand (24), E. Robinson (8)
wristxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
1-0
3:00
T. Teravainen(4)
S. Aho (31), A. Svechnikov (25)
slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
1-1
18:44

Overtime

D. Hamilton(9)
A. Nedeljkovic (1)
backhandxG 0.36win prob +49 pts
1-2
4:07

Penalties

2 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

19:57Max Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

6:15Sebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
6:33Warren Foegele · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CAR

100%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, OT 4:07 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att CAR

2 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.81 G
All situations: 2 G2.7; 2.61 G
Even strength: 2 G2.6; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

52%48%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

32
Shots on goal: 33; 36%
Faceoffs: 64%; 0/2
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 4; 26
Hits: 17; 22
Blocked shots: 13; 10
Giveaways: 13; 6
Takeaways: 6

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
3S. JonesD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	4	2	0	—	27:30
44V. GavrikovD	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	6	0	—	21:40
43M. LehtonenD	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	1	0	—	21:27
15M. Del ZottoD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	3	0	—	20:24
96J. RoslovicC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	0	0	37	20:03
16M. DomiC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.41	0	0	2	31	19:34
28O. BjorkstrandR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	2	2	0	—	19:32
13C. AtkinsonR	0	0	0	-1	3	0.37	0	1	0	33	19:09
42A. TexierL	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	1	0	0	11	16:22
25M. GrigorenkoC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.68	0	1	0	0	16:14
50E. RobinsonL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	1	2	0	100	15:45
52E. BemstromC	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	0	15:33
46D. KukanD	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	0	—	15:32
19L. FoudyC	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	0	0	0	15:08
7G. BayreutherD	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	—	14:49
23S. MatteauC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	2	0	0	10:54
24N. GerbeC	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	0	10:39
49R. MacInnisC	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	0	80	09:40

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
90E. Merzlikins(O)	33	31	2	.939	2.66	+0.66	64:07

Season series

CAR leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

1st period

Overtime

1st

3rd

Box score