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Blue Jackets at Hurricanes
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV FS-CR, FS-O·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 7-3. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock McGinn's goal at 1:29 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 37% to 53%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 3.1, CAR 3.1; shots on goal were CBJ 40, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.5 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 37 of 40 (.925). Three stars: 1. Brock McGinn (2 G, 2 A), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 3 A), 3. Jake Bean (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. McGinn2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Bean2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ315013012340
CARCAR21231329734

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:26
  2. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.48win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:55
  3. CAR
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    13:14
  4. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    15:53
  5. CAR
    wristxG 0.27win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    18:32

2nd period

  1. CAR
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    1:29
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    3-4
    1:56
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    3-5
    19:13

3rd period

  1. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    3-6
    11:35
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(6)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09
    3-7
    11:54

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:50CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 8:15CARJake Gardiner · Trippingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 18:33CBJDean Kukan · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 7:22CARJordan Martinook · Hookingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min
  • 11:35CBJserved by K. Stenlund · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCBJ goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Brock McGinn, 2nd 1:29 — CAR 37% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.27T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.18J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.17B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.15T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.12J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.08B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR7 G · 3.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCAR
3.13 G
All situations
7 G3.1
3.03 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ49%51%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCAR
40
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000+220.06300—25:47
44V. GavrikovD011+200.00110—22:21
15M. Del ZottoD000-130.10210—19:37
29P. LaineL011010.06110—18:52
42A. TexierL000020.081002218:13
71N. FolignoL011010.183002018:08
13C. AtkinsonR101+170.33000—17:50
96J. RoslovicC011010.100003817:48
38B. JennerC112+120.873205617:47
58D. SavardD000-340.07120—16:51
2A. PeekeD000-210.13620—16:00
28O. BjorkstrandR011-250.43000—14:04
46D. KukanD000-310.02112—13:49
11K. StenlundC101-210.130006213:48
50E. RobinsonL000050.47100—13:33
16M. DomiC000-340.0800010012:50
23S. MatteauC000000.00400012:00
20R. NashC000000.001003309:43
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)25205.8002.50-2.5040:00
90E. Merzlikins972.7780.57-1.4320:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).