Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Fast's goal at 6:39 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 1.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were CAR 28, CBJ 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 A), 3. Jesper Fast (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Nedeljkovic19 saves, 1.000

- ★★S. Aho2 A

- ★★★J. Fast1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goalsPenalties
1st
- 3:55
David Savard · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
- 5:34
Nick Foligno · Boardingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
2nd
- 3:30
Jordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
- 16:28
Jordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
3rd
- 15:06
Sebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jesper Fast, 2nd 6:39 — 65% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.73 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.2
- 1.43 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.1
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 1.20
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 19
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 21
- Hits
- 33
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 7
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
