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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FS-CR, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Fast's goal at 6:39 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 1.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were CAR 28, CBJ 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 A), 3. Jesper Fast (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Nedeljkovic19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Fast1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11121205328
CBJCBJ050707019

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho (16), J. Fast (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:13

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce (13), J. Staal (13)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:39
  2. CAR
    S. Aho (17), D. Hamilton (22)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    8:58

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:55CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 5:34CBJNick Foligno · Boardingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

2nd

  • 3:30CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 16:28CARJordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

3rd

  • 15:06CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Fast, 2nd 6:39 — CAR 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.17B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kukan · Missed · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ0 G · 1.2 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
1.73 G
All situations
0 G1.2
1.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR60%40%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 1.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
19
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
33
11
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+110.03010—22:49
22B. PesceD011+110.07020—22:41
19D. HamiltonD011+210.04110—22:19
76B. SkjeiD101+220.25210—21:43
20S. AhoC022+230.160025018:24
11J. StaalC011+120.121005917:59
37A. SvechnikovR000+330.16100—17:25
88M. NecasC101+140.3600010017:25
71J. FastR112+210.11200—16:06
13W. FoegeleL000000.00100—15:36
23B. McGinnL000030.07110—15:05
24J. BeanD000010.01320—14:22
21N. NiederreiterR000000.00000—14:17
48J. MartinookL000020.091143814:03
4H. FleuryD000020.03300—13:57
67M. GeekieC000010.010004311:00
78S. LorentzC000010.150105009:37
18C. PaquetteC000000.00510009:22
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)191901.0001.21+1.2159:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).