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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FS-CR, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 15:24 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.0 to 1.2; shots on goal were CAR 24, CBJ 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.8 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (22 saves, .917), 2. Jack Roslovic (1 G), 3. Seth Jones (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    J. Korpisalo22 saves, .917
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Roslovic1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    S. Jones1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR082907224
CBJCBJ1418110322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:24

2nd period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:19
  2. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(3)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.33win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:38
  3. CAR
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    12:46

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +38 pts
    2-3
    15:24

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:26CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

2nd

  • 10:32CBJDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 10:38CARTeuvo Teravainen · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Cam Atkinson0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, 3rd 15:24 — CBJ 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.33J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.14N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.09B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04S. Harrington · Goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01
CBJ3 G · 1.2 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
2.02 G
All situations
3 G1.2
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G0.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR68%32%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 1.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
24
Shots on goal
22
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
22
3
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-110.04110—23:36
22B. PesceD000-100.01020—21:50
19D. HamiltonD000+120.03120—20:01
20S. AhoC000-110.240103819:29
76B. SkjeiD000+120.02510—19:18
18R. DzingelC000-110.03000018:43
11J. StaalC000010.060006818:02
23B. McGinnL101-130.3020010017:57
37A. SvechnikovR000-130.43112—17:56
86T. TeravainenC000+100.0411010017:47
13W. FoegeleL011+120.16000—17:13
21N. NiederreiterR101+130.42110—16:52
4H. FleuryD000020.06100—16:37
51J. GardinerD000010.06300—16:01
48J. MartinookL011+110.022106315:38
71J. FastR000000.0221010013:52
67M. GeekieC000010.101006708:53
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)22193.8641.19-1.8158:15

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).