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Blue Jackets at Hurricanes
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV FS-CR, FS-O·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime, Seth Jones scoring at 4:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jones's goal at 4:09 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were CBJ 28, CAR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (2 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G), 3. Joonas Korpisalo (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Jones2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Korpisalo25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ114160612328
CARCAR072120404227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:11

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(12)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:51
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(13)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    12:20
  3. CBJ
    snapxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    17:50

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.25win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:09

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:24CBJMax Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 4:38CBJNick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 11:09CBJStefan Matteau · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 15:46CARBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCBJ goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Seth Jones, OT 4:09 — CBJ 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.21A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.18M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.18J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.16M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.16B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.15W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.15J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.13S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR2 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCAR
2.53 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
32
Hits
24
19
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD202+260.61520—25:36
8Z. WerenskiD011000.01000—24:45
58D. SavardD000030.15240—23:51
44V. GavrikovD000010.18510—23:47
13C. AtkinsonR000020.18110—19:43
28O. BjorkstrandR033+230.28100—19:38
20R. NashC000000.003306018:00
29P. LaineL000030.19010—17:57
71N. FolignoL000-120.202225417:45
96J. RoslovicC000+100.002204016:55
16M. DomiC011+110.01002015:49
38B. JennerC000+100.002105015:41
46D. KukanD000000.00100—12:52
15M. Del ZottoD000010.01110—11:45
11K. StenlundC101+150.56000011:23
50E. RobinsonL000000.08210—11:22
23S. MatteauC000+110.01302010:33
49R. MacInnisC000000.002003309:54
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)27252.9262.85+0.8564:09

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).