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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Columbus Blue Jackets
3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-CR·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 1:26. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 1:26 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were CAR 33, CBJ 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 2. Seth Jones (2 A), 3. Alex Nedeljkovic (33 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    S. Jones2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Nedeljkovic33 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR014291812433
CBJCBJ0811421400336

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(4)
    K. Stenlund (5), S. Jones (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    7:03
  2. CAR
    C. Paquette(3)
    B. Skjei (4), S. Lorentz (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:49
  3. CAR
    M. Necas(7)
    A. Svechnikov (15), J. Bean (10)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:16

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(12)PPG
    P. Laine (8), S. Jones (15)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    3:20
  2. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(14)
    J. Slavin (9), D. Hamilton (23)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +40 pts
    3-2
    15:42
  3. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(12)
    C. Atkinson (11), B. Jenner (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:44

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(14)
    M. Necas (17)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:26

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:03CBJDean Kukan · Trippingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 14:39CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 15:59CBJNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

2nd

  • 19:36CARWarren Foegele · Elbowingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

3rd

  • 1:55CARJake Bean · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 1:26 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.21E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.20N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.17C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.15N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.14K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.14K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.13J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.13E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.12E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.10K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.10N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.09M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.06B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.04 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR28%72%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
33
Shots on goal
36
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000000.00120—23:57
74J. SlavinD011050.09010—22:07
19D. HamiltonD011+150.19210—21:56
20S. AhoC101+120.350005021:15
76B. SkjeiD011010.03340—20:59
88M. NecasC112+220.270103320:11
11J. StaalC000+120.071026518:50
37A. SvechnikovR011020.20200—16:52
23B. McGinnL000-110.08110—16:49
24J. BeanD011+120.15002—15:44
21N. NiederreiterR101+130.15010—15:01
71J. FastR000-110.04100—14:40
4H. FleuryD000+110.02110—14:35
48J. MartinookL000-110.013004513:36
13W. FoegeleL000+110.9300210012:44
67M. GeekieC000010.020005712:11
78S. LorentzC011+100.00010009:44
18C. PaquetteC101+130.45300008:18
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)36333.9173.55+0.5560:50

Season series

CAR leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).