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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV BSDET+, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Skjei's goal at 4:40 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were DET 17, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.5 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 A), 3. Brady Skjei (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET081603117
CARCAR06216110332

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. Skjei(3)
    S. Aho (29), T. Teravainen (8)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:40
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(10)
    B. Pesce (21)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    13:29
  3. DET
    J. Vrana(17)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:31

3rd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(3)
    S. Aho (30), A. Svechnikov (24)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    9:48

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:30DETMarc Staal · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 7:22DETLuke Glendening · Holdingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 10:32CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min

3rd

  • 18:14DETJakub Vrana · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Skjei, 2nd 4:40 — CAR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.58T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.49W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.26W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.20T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.19N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.18S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.16T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.15M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.08M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.08M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.06C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR3 G · 4.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
1.71 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET21%79%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
17
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
7
18
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-120.05110—21:41
15J. VranaL101030.39112—21:32
51V. FilppulaC000010.260205019:43
65D. DeKeyserD000000.00010—19:34
18M. StaalD000-100.11012—18:36
27M. RasmussenC000020.063005417:49
11F. ZadinaR000-100.00010—17:34
43D. HelmC000-120.10110016:38
41L. GlendeningC000-100.001124716:33
89S. GagnerC000-110.040107516:23
28G. LindstromD000000.09030—15:59
92V. NamestnikovC000-200.001104015:07
24R. PanikR000010.18300—14:18
90J. VelenoC000020.273006313:58
37E. SvechnikovL000020.11110—13:57
70T. StecherD000-110.00200—13:57
21D. CholowskiD000-100.00020—13:44
3A. BiegaD000000.02300—10:58
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)32293.9063.54+0.5456:13

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).