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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 15:13 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 46% to 68%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.0, DET 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 32, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Dougie Hamilton (1 G), 2. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 3. Jonathan Bernier (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Bernier30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01218112232
DETDET0907110126

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    1-0
    15:13

3rd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(12)
    S. Aho (15), J. Slavin (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:37
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(8)
    F. Hronek (15), L. Glendening (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 pts
    2-1
    19:50

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·DET 2 PIM

2nd

  • 3:08CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 9:48DETMichael Rasmussen · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 13:28CARJesper Fast · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 2nd 15:13 — CAR 46% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.20V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.11R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.06A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.00P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
2.02 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR54%46%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
32
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
9
Hits
11
10
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000000.00000—23:49
74J. SlavinD011-110.03020—22:31
19D. HamiltonD101010.11010—20:58
76B. SkjeiD000+140.08012—20:51
20S. AhoC011+110.111205020:38
88M. NecasC000+110.0902010018:24
21N. NiederreiterR101+120.14200—18:18
11J. StaalC000-110.081004717:23
71J. FastR000010.0910210015:59
24J. BeanD000+130.16000—15:47
4H. FleuryD000+120.03010—15:30
23B. McGinnL000-120.08000—15:16
37A. SvechnikovR000030.29100—14:49
48J. MartinookL000+130.270106013:53
13W. FoegeleL000030.231005013:35
67M. GeekieC000010.071005010:27
18C. PaquetteC000000.00000009:16
78S. LorentzC000030.161008808:51
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)26251.9621.79+0.7959:45

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).